Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

84

Kaapo Kakko

New York Rangers Right Wing

Second overall in 2019, and 117 points in 300 games across five seasons.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20NYR66101323-26142031099.214:17
2020-21NYR489817+3102008111.114:21
2021-22NYR4371118+9101026211.315:27
2022-23NYR82182240+12800212514.415:18
2023-24NYR6113619+6241029114.313:17
2024-25 so far
Career3005760117+46660946812.214:32

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

61 games, 13 goals and 6 assists for 19 points, 1 on the power play, 24 penalty minutes, 13:17 a night and plus-6. He took 48.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 744 minutes, the 44th percentile, and his ice went 24-21 against an expectation of 26.67-27.97.

Three goals of scoring that did not arrive and seven fewer conceded than the chances called for. Nineteen points in sixty-one games at thirteen minutes a night is a third-line season from a second overall pick in his fifth year.

The Finesse Game

128 attempts at a median of 26 feet with 38 per cent from inside 20, 91 on goal, converted at 14.3 per cent against a career 12.18.

60 career assists in 300 games. Thirteen goals on ninety-one shots is above his own rate and the volume is the problem: a hundred and twenty-eight attempts in sixty-one games is a fourth-liner’s share. He protects the puck well and does very little with it afterwards.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 215 and holds the puck on the wall against anybody.

66 career penalty minutes in 300 games is a very low rate. He forechecks by position rather than by force and does not take liberties or retaliate.

The Intangibles

Second overall in 2019 out of Turku, five seasons, and 117 points in 300 games, all of it for one organisation.

He is 23 and has never had more than forty points. Second overall picks who cannot hold a top-six job at 23 on a club that needs scoring are running out of seasons in which the question stays open.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 744 minutes

Expected goals
48.8%
45th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.1%
56th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 21 against. Expected: 26.7 and 28.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
58th
Numbers
45th

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 744 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NYR took 50.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 744 minutes at five-on-five — 34th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Will Cuylle46.9%50.4%49.1%
K'Andre Miller46.0%50.6%48.9%
Braden Schneider42.1%52.2%50.8%

46.9% together, 50.4% for him apart and 49.1% for Cuylle apart. He was better away from Cuylle, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Cuylle.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

128 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.