Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

53

Casey Cizikas

New York Islanders Center

82 games at 34 on the fourth line, and a line that scored 47 goals against an expectation of 33.5.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12NYI15044+16000120.010:36
2012-13NYI4569150140014513.310:47
2013-14NYI8061016-1230101797.613:22
2014-15NYI709918-2240229010.012:31
2015-16NYI8082129+431014849.512:41
2016-17NYI5981725+930001829.813:54
2017-18NYI6471017-1223010749.513:13
2018-19NYI73201333+223602311118.014:01
2019-20NYI4810414+12410316714.914:18
2020-21NYI567714-227003729.713:50
2021-22NYI7410616-3480139111.013:45
2022-23NYI81615210540001115.414:32
2023-24NYI70101323-2220118212.213:56
2024-25NYI8271017-1351011977.213:02
2025-26 so far
Career897114148262+243711221109710.413:22

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 7 goals and 10 assists for 17 points at 13:02 a night, on 97 shots at 7.22 per cent. 51 penalty minutes. Minus-13.

On-ice goals of 47-33 against an expected 33.45-34.81 — his line scored fourteen more than the chances said it should have and conceded two fewer, which is one of the largest positive gaps of any fourth-line forward in this edition. A 49 per cent chance share underneath it. The minus-13 comes from shorthanded time on a unit that finished 31st in the league, and it is not a description of him.

The Finesse Game

41 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 25, and 7.22 per cent on 97 attempts is what a fourth-line centre returns.

There is not much offensive game here and there has not been for a decade. He wins draws, he forechecks, and he is on the ice at the end of periods and the ends of games because nothing about his judgement changes with the score.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 191 and among the most consistently physical forwards in the league at that size — he hits everything, he blocks shots, and 51 penalty minutes at thirteen minutes a night is the standing cost.

He has fought men eighty pounds heavier and has never once looked reluctant about it.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, fifteen seasons in one organisation, a Stanley Cup Final, and the identity of a club that has been rebuilt around him twice.

He is 34 and played all 82 games, and his line outscored what it deserved by fourteen goals — which for a fourth line is either the most valuable thing in this chapter or the most fragile. It is probably both.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 930 minutes

Expected goals
49%
41st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.1%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 47 for, 33 against. Expected: 33.5 and 34.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
12th
Numbers
41st

The numbers rank him 29 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 930 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYI took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.0% — 0.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 930 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Pierre Engvall49.7%48.5%45.1%
Simon Holmstrom45.4%50.9%51.0%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau54.8%46.6%51.2%

49.7% together, 48.5% for him apart and 45.1% for Engvall apart. Engvall was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Engvall than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

155 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.