Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2024-25 report →

89

Andreas Athanasiou

Chicago Blackhawks Center

24.2 mph and 3.7 bursts a game, both near the top of the league, on the worst offensive club in hockey.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DET379514+150115317.09:01
2016-17DET64181129-72810312015.013:28
2017-18DET71161733-15161021709.415:19
2018-19DET76302454-93830421613.916:58
2019-20DET/EDM55111526-46303021298.515:51
2020-21LAK47101323-6270018511.814:57
2021-22LAK2811617+740037115.515:14
2022-23CHI81202040-293430417511.416:00
2023-24 so far
Career459125111236-10418211120101912.314:58

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 20 assists in 81 games — 40 points at 16:00 a night, minus-29, with 175 shots at 11.43 per cent.

It is his most points since the 54 he managed in Detroit in 2018-19, and it came on a club that scored 204 goals, the fewest in the league.

42.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,115 minutes, the 11th percentile, and 37.5 per cent of his even-strength shifts started in the offensive zone, the 3rd percentile in the league. He was given the puck in his own end and asked to do something with it, all year.

The Finesse Game

175 attempts at a median of 24 feet, 44 per cent from inside twenty and 22 per cent from beyond forty, off a 97.5 mph shot at the 90th percentile.

Fourteen goals on 81 shots from inside twenty feet at 17.3 per cent, seven from the middle band, and nothing at all on the 34 he took from beyond forty. The shot selection is good and the finish inside is genuine.

125 goals in 459 career games at 12.27 per cent. He is a scorer and has always been one; what he is not is a player who makes the four men around him better, and on this roster that was the job available.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 190, and the tracking has him at 24.2 mph, the 99th percentile, with 3.7 bursts over 20 mph a game at the 98th. Straight-line speed is the whole player.

It is worth naming precisely what that is and is not. The feed times how fast he goes and how often he gets there; it says nothing about changing direction, and nothing in the shot chart or the possession numbers suggests he beats anyone by turning. This is a man who goes very fast in a straight line at a defenceman and sometimes gets past him.

34 penalty minutes and 2.57 miles a game at the 49th percentile. He is fast rather than hard-working, which at his job is the correct order.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick by Detroit in 2012, five clubs by 29, and a reputation that has followed him at each of them: he will score twenty and he will be on for thirty against.

The minus-29 on a 30th-place club is not evidence of much. The 11th-percentile expected-goal share over 1,115 minutes is harder to explain away.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,115 minutes

Expected goals
42.8%
11th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.5%
10th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 57 against. Expected: 40.1 and 53.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
54th
Numbers
11th

The report ranks him 43 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 141 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 1115 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
CHI took 42.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.8% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,115 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Patrick Kane36.9%46.1%41.1%
Seth Jones51.1%38.1%44.8%
Caleb Jones48.3%40.0%44.0%

36.9% together, 46.1% for him apart and 41.1% for Kane apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

253 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.