Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jansen Harkins

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Jansen Harkins

Tampa Bay Lightning Center #10

305 games, 45 points, and 9 and a half minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20WPG29257-25000296.910:37
2020-21WPG26112-24000166.38:24
2021-22WPG777613-8150006710.49:29
2022-23WPG22325+4120001816.710:49
2023-24PIT45044-421000370.08:12
2024-25ANA62246-1321001494.110:56
2025-26ANA44358-628000378.19:35
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—305182745-311060012537.19:43

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 5 assists in 44 games — 8 points, minus-6, at 9:35 a night with 28 penalty minutes. His 5-on-5 work was done in Anaheim.

The Finesse Game

59 unblocked attempts, 3 goals, median 25 feet with 42 per cent from inside 20.

45 points in 305 career games — 18 goals in 7 seasons — is the record of a fourth-line forward who has never scored at this level and is not going to start.

5 assists in 44 games is the rest of it.

The Physical Game

6-1, 197, and neither heavy nor quick. 28 penalty minutes.

He kills penalties, takes defensive-zone draws, and is reliable in the sense that nothing much happens when he is on the ice.

The Intangibles

45.3 per cent of the expected goals, 17th percentile, and 48.7 per cent of the shot attempts, 43rd, across 408 minutes in Anaheim.

Those are below-average figures in a small sample, and on this particular roster they are the worst of any forward brought in.

1 point in his last 10. He is 29, a 47th overall pick, and the thirteenth forward. Tampa’s fourth line is the only soft place on the depth chart and this is the page that shows it.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 408 minutes

Expected goals
45.3%
17th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.7%
43rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 9 for, 16 against. Expected: 15.2 and 18.4.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
15th
Numbers
17th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 65 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 44 games

Top speed
24.0 mph
99th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.89 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.67 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.8 mph
68th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 16 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with ANA · 408 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
ANA took 50.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.3% — 5.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 408 minutes at five-on-five — 12th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ross Johnston41.9%48.1%47.7%
Jacob Trouba38.2%49.4%50.9%
Olen Zellweger44.3%45.9%52.0%

41.9% together, 48.1% for him apart and 47.7% for Johnston apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

59 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.