Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Jansen Harkins

Mighty Ducks of Anaheim Center

A fourth-line centre with 6 points, a minus-13, and 556 minutes at the 7th percentile in chance share.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20WPG29257-25000296.910:37
2020-21WPG26112-24000166.38:24
2021-22WPG777613-8150006710.49:29
2022-23WPG22325+4120001816.710:49
2023-24PIT45044-421000370.08:12
2024-25ANA62246-1321001494.110:56
2025-26 so far
Career261152237-25780012166.99:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 4 assists in 62 games for 6 points, minus-13 — the worst rating on the club — on 10:56 a night.

42.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 7th percentile. His on-ice goals were 32-25 against an expected 17-22, which is a fourth line getting extraordinary goaltending and still finishing minus-13 in the other columns.

The Finesse Game

There is essentially none at NHL level. 49 shots in 62 games and 2 goals, no playmaking to speak of, and no evidence in six seasons of anything arriving.

He skates well enough to keep up and he does not lose the puck in an obviously damaging way. That is the whole of it.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 197, and neither heavy nor timid. He finishes some checks and wins some pucks and is not a physical presence in either direction.

21 penalty minutes over 62 games. Nothing here suggests he wins a job on toughness.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, seven years of American League hockey with NHL stretches attached, and an honest professional’s career.

The projection is a thirteenth forward. On a club with this many young players needing minutes, 62 games at 10:56 was a use of ice time that could have gone to somebody with a future.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 556 minutes

Expected goals
42.8%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.7%
7th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 25 against. Expected: 16.5 and 22.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
6th
Numbers
8th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 315 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 556 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
ANA took 44.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.8% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 556 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Isac Lundestrom42.3%43.3%43.0%
Ross Johnston38.3%46.3%42.1%
Brett Leason38.9%45.1%41.4%

42.3% together, 43.3% for him apart and 43.0% for Lundestrom apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

62 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.