This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Jansen Harkins

A fourth-line centre with 6 points, a minus-13, and 556 minutes at the 7th percentile in chance share.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2019-20	WPG	29	2	5	7	-2	5	0	0	0	29	6.9	10:37
2020-21	WPG	26	1	1	2	-2	4	0	0	0	16	6.3	8:24
2021-22	WPG	77	7	6	13	-8	15	0	0	0	67	10.4	9:29
2022-23	WPG	22	3	2	5	+4	12	0	0	0	18	16.7	10:49
2023-24	PIT	45	0	4	4	-4	21	0	0	0	37	0.0	8:12
2024-25	ANA	62	2	4	6	-13	21	0	0	1	49	4.1	10:56
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	261	15	22	37	-25	78	0	0	1	216	6.9	9:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 4 assists in 62 games for 6 points, minus-13 — the worst rating on the club — on 10:56 a night.

40.0 per cent at five-on-five, the 3rd percentile. His on-ice goals were 12-26 against an expected 15-22, which is a fourth line getting extraordinary goaltending and still finishing minus-13 in the other columns.

The Finesse Game

There is essentially none at NHL level. 49 shots in 62 games and 2 goals, no playmaking to speak of, and no evidence in six seasons of anything arriving.

He skates well enough to keep up and he does not lose the puck in an obviously damaging way. That is the whole of it.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 197, and neither heavy nor timid. He finishes some checks and wins some pucks and is not a physical presence in either direction.

21 penalty minutes over 62 games. Nothing here suggests he wins a job on toughness.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, seven years of American League hockey with NHL stretches attached, and an honest professional’s career.

The projection is a thirteenth forward. On a club with this many young players needing minutes, 62 games at 10:56 was a use of ice time that could have gone to somebody with a future.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
26% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 3rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“49 shots in 62 games and 2 goals, no playmaking to speak of, and no evidence in six seasons of anything arriving.”
punishingpresent and ordinary· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“He finishes some checks and wins some pucks and is not a physical presence in either direction.”
nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“Nothing here suggests he wins a job on toughness.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 556 minutes

Expected goals: 40%; 3rd pct
Shot attempts: 42.6%; 5th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 26 against. Expected: 14.9 and 22.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

11th

Numbers

3rd

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 62 games

Top speed: 22.9 mph; 81st pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.87 a game
Distance: 1.79 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.9 mph; 65th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 556 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: ANA took 44.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 40.0% — 4.6 below the club he did it on.
The role: Fourth line, 556 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Isac Lundestrom	38.0%	42.3%	42.0%
Ross Johnston	35.5%	43.2%	43.3%
Brett Leason	38.4%	41.0%	40.7%

38.0% together, 42.3% for him apart and 42.0% for Lundestrom apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

62 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.