Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

92

Liam Ohgren

Minnesota Wild Left Wing

24 games at 21 and a 40.8 per cent chance share, and a first NHL look that did not go well.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24MIN411200001812.514:31
2024-25MIN24235-62001326.311:06
2025-26 so far
Career28347-62002407.511:35

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 3 assists in 24 games for 5 points, minus-6, on 11:06 a night.

40.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 2nd percentile, over 247 minutes. That is a small sample and it is a very bad one.

The Finesse Game

Not yet at the level. 32 shots in 24 games and 2 goals, with only a quarter of the attempts from inside 20 feet — he was working from the perimeter because that is where NHL defencemen put him.

The shot is genuine and it was a first-round pick’s shot in Sweden. Nothing about the first 24 games suggests it is ready.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 187, and he is willing without being strong enough. He is separated from possession by NHL defencemen routinely, which is the ordinary problem for a 21-year-old winger.

2 penalty minutes in 24 games. Too small a sample to read.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, two American League seasons, and a first NHL stretch at 21 on a club fighting for a playoff place, which is the hardest environment to learn in.

The projection is a middle-six winger and the timeline is two more years. Nothing in last season changes either.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 247 minutes

Expected goals
40.8%
3rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.2%
6th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 5 for, 11 against. Expected: 6.8 and 9.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
41st
Numbers
3rd

The report ranks him 38 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 247 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 40.8% — 8.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
247 minutes at five-on-five — 3rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Frederick Gaudreau38.7%42.7%46.4%
Brock Faber39.7%41.5%47.3%
Jake Middleton36.2%43.7%47.9%

38.7% together, 42.7% for him apart and 46.4% for Gaudreau apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

49 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 24% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.