Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jakob Chychrun

Photo by Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0

Jakob Chychrun

Washington Capitals Defense #6

26 goals from a blue line, and 23 minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17ARI6871320-1447100868.116:40
2017-18ARI5041014+2162011023.920:15
2018-19ARI5351520-12283001174.320:15
2019-20ARI63121426+4385021498.122:26
2020-21ARI56182341-64250317610.223:23
2021-22ARI4771421-20471021415.023:00
2022-23ARI/OTT4892433+7304001446.322:42
2023-24OTT82142741-30607022046.922:23
2024-25WSH74202747+175250617911.221:04
2025-26WSH80263460+206280822111.823:20
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—621122201323-324224102415198.021:32

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 34 assists in 80 games — 60 points, plus-20, at 23:20 a night — the heaviest workload on the club — with 8 power-play goals and 62 penalty minutes.

His 621st career game and his 323rd point. 122 career goals from defence.

The Finesse Game

The shot is one of the two or three heaviest from any blue line in the league. 352 unblocked attempts from a median of 44 feet with 59 per cent from beyond 40, and 26 goals came out of it.

26 goals from a defenceman is the best figure at the position in this edition, and 8 of them came on the power play he runs.

34 assists is a fair rate on top of that.

The Physical Game

6-2, 215, and he defends adequately — closes gaps, finishes checks, does not clear a crease especially well. 62 penalty minutes.

The skating is genuinely good and it is why he can carry 23 minutes.

The Intangibles

50.3 per cent of the expected goals, 57th percentile, and 51.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 73rd, across 1,502 minutes, with the chances level at 68.7 and 67.8 — and the goals 83 for and 47 against.

That 36-goal margin on level chances is 35 better than the chances predicted — the largest such gap in this book — and it is the goaltending, which in Washington was the story.

9 points in his last 10, 3 of them goals. He is 28, and this is the best season of his career by 20 points.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    6 of his 26 goals late or in overtime, 95th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    58% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 92nd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,502 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
57th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.9%
74th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 83 for, 47 against. Expected: 68.7 and 67.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
57th

The report ranks him 32 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 80 games

Top speed
23.1 mph
94th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
1.14 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.30 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
99.1 mph
94th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

9

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 6 assists, 18 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1502 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
WSH took 49.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 0.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,502 minutes at five-on-five — 97th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matt Roy52.3%48.8%42.8%
Dylan Strome48.4%51.2%48.0%
Alex Ovechkin48.8%51.0%50.1%

52.3% together, 48.8% for him apart and 42.8% for Roy apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

352 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 34 feet. 13% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 59% from beyond forty.