Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Alex Ovechkin

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Alex Ovechkin

Washington Capitals Left Wing #8

929 goals, 1,573 games, and 32 more at 40.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2005-06WSH815254106+252213542512.221:37
2006-07WSH82464692-1952160839211.721:23
2007-08WSH826547112+28402201144614.623:06
2008-09WSH795654110+8721911052810.623:00
2009-10WSH725059109+4589130736813.621:48
2010-11WSH79325385+244170113678.721:22
2011-12WSH78382765-826130330312.519:48
2012-13WSH48322456+236160422014.520:53
2013-14WSH78512879-35482401038613.220:33
2014-15WSH81532881+10582501139513.420:20
2015-16WSH79502171+2153190839812.620:19
2016-17WSH82333669+650170731310.518:22
2017-18WSH82493887+332170735513.820:09
2018-19WSH81513889+740180533815.120:55
2019-20WSH68481967-1230130331115.420:40
2020-21WSH45241842-71290618213.219:30
2021-22WSH77504090+818161533415.020:34
2022-23WSH73423375-1648140329414.320:12
2023-24WSH79313465-2220130527211.419:13
2024-25WSH65442973+1514140723718.617:43
2025-26WSH82323264-52650524413.117:27
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—15739297581687+558573315141710813.120:27

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

32 goals and 32 assists in all 82 games — 64 points, minus-5, at 17:27 a night with 5 power-play goals and 26 penalty minutes.

His 1,573rd career game and his 1,687th point. 929 goals.

He turns 41 in September.

The Finesse Game

The shot is the most productive weapon in the history of the sport and it has not changed in 21 years. 390 unblocked attempts — the most on the club — from a median of 36 feet, with only 27 per cent from inside 20 and 34 per cent from beyond 40.

That is the office: the left circle, the same release, the same result. 30 goals came out of it at 40 years old.

32 assists is a fair number and has never been the point.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 238 pounds, and still one of the heaviest hitters in the league when he chooses to be. 26 penalty minutes.

The skating went years ago and the strength has not. He plays 82 games a season and has done so for 2 decades — 1,573 games and almost none of them missed.

The Intangibles

49.6 per cent of the expected goals, 51st percentile, across 1,035 minutes — dead average, and the least interesting line on the page.

11 points in his last 10, 6 of them goals.

He is 40, the leading goalscorer in the history of the National Hockey League, and still scoring 30 a year. There is no scouting report to write. Go and watch it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    33.6% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    86% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 100th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,035 minutes

Expected goals
49.6%
52nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50%
57th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 50 for, 40 against. Expected: 46.0 and 46.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
95th
Numbers
52nd

The report ranks him 43 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
25th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.15 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.38 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
97.3 mph
99th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

11

points in his last 10 games — 6 goals, 5 assists, 38 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1035 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
WSH took 49.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.6% — 0.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,035 minutes at five-on-five — 64th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dylan Strome49.7%49.1%45.2%
Anthony Beauvillier51.4%47.9%46.0%
Jakob Chychrun48.8%50.1%51.0%

49.7% together, 49.1% for him apart and 45.2% for Strome apart. Strome was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Strome than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

390 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 27% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 34% from beyond forty.