Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

49

Ty Emberson

Edmonton Oilers Defense

A steady, unspectacular right-shot defenseman doing exactly what a third pair is supposed to do.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24SJS301910-46000313.218:33
2024-25EDM7621113-518001623.215:07
2025-26EDM7221012-123001464.315:31
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—17853035-10470021393.615:51

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 12 points in 72 games, a minus-1, on 15 and a half minutes a night. Those are the numbers of a player who was never a problem and never the story, which for this role is the point.

The Finesse Game

Modest offensively and entirely comfortable with that. He makes a clean first pass, does not force plays through the middle of his own zone, and gets pucks to the net without pretending the shot is a weapon. He rarely joins a rush and almost never gets caught doing it.

The skating is solid — good enough to close a gap, good enough to turn and retrieve under pressure. What stands out is the decision-making. He plays a simple game quickly, which is the difference between a third-pair defenseman a coach can trust and one he has to hide.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 193, which is on the small side for the job, and he compensates with positioning and good stick detail. He is willing along the wall and in front of his net without being able to physically dominate anyone.

The Intangibles

Came over from San Jose in the Cody Ceci trade and has been steadily more useful every year since. Right-handed defensemen who defend properly and do not require protection are worth real money; he is on the cheap end of that.

The ceiling is what it is — this is a third-pair player who can survive on a second pair when needed. On a team with this much money committed up front, that is exactly the kind of contract that decides seasons.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    81.7% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,028 minutes

Expected goals
47.7%
34th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.7%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 34 against. Expected: 35.9 and 39.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
67th
Numbers
34th

The report ranks him 33 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 72 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
89th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.71 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.23 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.8 mph
59th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

1

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 0 assists, 14 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1028 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.7% — 3.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,028 minutes at five-on-five — 63rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brett Kulak44.0%49.5%46.9%
Trent Frederic45.7%48.5%49.0%
Jack Roslovic54.8%45.4%49.9%

44.0% together, 49.5% for him apart and 46.9% for Kulak apart. He was better away from Kulak, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Kulak.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

60 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 82% from beyond forty.