Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Jack Quinn

Buffalo Sabres Right Wing

Nine goals in twenty-seven games at twenty-two, and eighth overall four years ago.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22BUF211200100616.714:53
2022-23BUF75142337-71510212611.113:51
2023-24BUF2791019-181025616.115:38
2024-25 so far
Career104243458-82330418812.814:20

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 10 assists in 27 games — 19 points at 15:38 a night, minus-1, with 1 power-play goal and 2 game-winners on 56 shots, converting at 16.07 per cent, and 8 penalty minutes. An Achilles injury took the rest of the season.

50.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 343 minutes, the 59th percentile. His ice went 12-9 against an expectation of 14.85-14.31.

The Finesse Game

56 attempts at a median of 25 feet, with 35 per cent from inside 20 and 14 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 16.07 per cent.

The release is quick and accurate and the hands in tight are the best on this roster — nine goals in twenty-seven games is a forty-goal rate and it is not going to hold, but the ability that produced it is real. Twenty-four goals in 104 career games.

He is the one forward here who can make a pass a penalty kill does not expect, and ten assists in twenty-seven games says so.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 185 and light. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he avoids contact rather than absorbing it.

8 penalty minutes in 27 games and 23 in 104 for his career is one of the cleanest rates on the roster, and it is the rate of a player who is never in a battle.

The Intangibles

Eighth overall in 2020, out of Ottawa in the junior league, and 104 games and 58 points at 23 across three interrupted seasons.

The Achilles is the story of the career so far — a torn one in 2022 cost him most of a year, and this season ended at twenty-seven games. He is the fifth top-ten pick on this roster and the one whose ceiling nobody has yet seen for eighty-two games.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 343 minutes

Expected goals
50.9%
60th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.3%
74th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 9 against. Expected: 14.8 and 14.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
65th
Numbers
60th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 343 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
BUF took 48.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.9% — 2.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
343 minutes at five-on-five — 9th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dylan Cozens52.9%44.5%47.3%
JJ Peterka59.2%44.0%49.7%
Rasmus Dahlin55.0%48.6%50.8%

52.9% together, 44.5% for him apart and 47.3% for Cozens apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

83 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.