Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Jack Quinn

Buffalo Sabres Right Wing

39 points and a minus-18, and a 24-year-old whose fourth season looked like his second.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22BUF211200100616.714:53
2022-23BUF75142337-71510212611.113:51
2023-24BUF2791019-181025616.115:38
2024-25BUF74152439-181830312312.214:52
2025-26 so far
Career178395897-264160731112.514:33

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 24 assists in 74 games for 39 points, minus-18 — the worst rating on the club — on 14:52 a night.

46.6 per cent at five-on-five, the 22nd percentile, and on-ice goals of 31-36 against an expected 32-37. The chances were bad and the results matched them, which is a more honest failure than most of this roster produced.

The Finesse Game

The release is real and always has been — he was drafted 8th overall for a shot that gets away quickly from the circle, and it still does. 12.2 per cent shooting on 123 attempts is a fair rate.

The problem is location. Only 19 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet, which for a winger of his size is a man taking what the perimeter offers rather than going and getting anything. The playmaking has grown — 24 assists is his best — and the puck skills work at moderate speed and not at NHL speed.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 185, and light. He does not win pucks on the wall, is separated from possession without much difficulty, and does not go to the net front.

18 penalty minutes over 74 games. He is not involved in enough of the traffic to take any.

The Intangibles

An 8th overall pick who had an Achilles injury early, missed most of a development year, and has been climbing back ever since. That is a genuine mitigating circumstance and it is now four seasons old.

At 24, this is the point where a club decides. There is a 25-goal winger in the shot; there is also a fourth season of the same underlying numbers and a minus-18. Buffalo has been patient with him longer than most clubs would be.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 871 minutes

Expected goals
46.6%
23rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.8%
40th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 36 against. Expected: 32.1 and 36.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
23rd

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 871 minutes at five-on-five

  • Dylan Cozensnow OTT35%
  • John-Jason Peterkanow UTA34%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
BUF took 47.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.6% — 1.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 871 minutes at five-on-five — 42nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dylan Cozens44.9%47.6%48.6%
Owen Power47.6%45.9%48.1%
Rasmus Dahlin55.5%42.6%52.3%

44.9% together, 47.6% for him apart and 48.6% for Cozens apart. Cozens was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

208 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 19% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.