Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Jack Quinn

Buffalo Sabres Right Wing

39 points and a minus-18, and a 24-year-old whose fourth season looked like his second.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22BUF211200100616.714:53
2022-23BUF75142337-71510212611.113:51
2023-24BUF2791019-181025616.115:38
2024-25BUF74152439-181830312312.214:52
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—178395897-264160731112.514:33

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 24 assists in 74 games for 39 points, minus-18 — the worst rating on the club — on 14:52 a night.

45.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 18th percentile, and on-ice goals of 35-43 against an expected 32-39. The chances were bad and the results matched them, which is a more honest failure than most of this roster produced.

The Finesse Game

The release is real and always has been — he was drafted 8th overall for a shot that gets away quickly from the circle, and it still does. 12.2 per cent shooting on 123 attempts is a fair rate.

The problem is location. Only 19 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet, which for a winger of his size is a man taking what the perimeter offers rather than going and getting anything. The playmaking has grown — 24 assists is his best — and the puck skills work at moderate speed and not at NHL speed.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 185, and light. He does not win pucks on the wall, is separated from possession without much difficulty, and does not go to the net front.

18 penalty minutes over 74 games. He is not involved in enough of the traffic to take any.

The Intangibles

An 8th overall pick who had an Achilles injury early, missed most of a development year, and has been climbing back ever since. That is a genuine mitigating circumstance and it is now four seasons old.

At 24, this is the point where a club decides. There is a 25-goal winger in the shot; there is also a fourth season of the same underlying numbers and a minus-18. Buffalo has been patient with him longer than most clubs would be.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The playmaking has grown — 24 assists is his best”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not win pucks on the wall, is separated from possession without much difficulty, and does not go to the net front.”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “is separated from possession without much difficulty”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “does not go to the net front”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “18 penalty minutes over 74 games. He is not involved in enough of the traffic to take any.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 871 minutes

Expected goals
45.5%
19th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.5%
38th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 43 against. Expected: 32.3 and 38.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
19th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 74 games

Top speed
21.8 mph
29th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.86 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.36 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.0 mph
32nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 871 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
BUF took 47.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.5% — 2.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 871 minutes at five-on-five — 42nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Owen Power46.3%45.0%47.5%
Dylan Cozens42.5%47.1%47.7%
Rasmus Dahlin54.2%41.5%53.5%

46.3% together, 45.0% for him apart and 47.5% for Power apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

208 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 19% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.