Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

8

Henry Thrun

San Jose Sharks Defense

Twenty minutes a night at 22, on the worst club in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23SJS8022-3000070.019:52
2023-24SJS513811-2216200486.320:00
2024-25 so far
Career5931013-2516200555.519:59

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

51 games, 3 goals and 8 assists for 11 points, 2 on the power play, 16 penalty minutes, 20:00 a night and minus-22. He took 38.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 871 minutes, the 8th percentile, and his ice went 26-46 against an expectation of 26.54-42.24.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and four more conceded than they called for. Twenty minutes a night from a 22-year-old on the club that gave up the most chances in hockey is a hard place to learn the job.

The Finesse Game

71 attempts at a median of 50 feet with 68 per cent of them from beyond forty and 4 per cent from inside twenty, 47 of those on goal, converted at 6.3 per cent against a career 5.45 across 55 shots.

Ten career assists against 3 goals in 59 games, and two power-play goals among them. He moves the puck up quickly and takes the first option rather than holding for a better one, which is what a young defenceman does when the club in front of him cannot hold a zone.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 211 and took 16 penalty minutes.

Sixteen career penalty minutes in 59 games is a remarkably low total for a defenceman playing twenty minutes a night. He defends with position and reach rather than contact, and the frame suggests there is more physical game available than he has used so far.

The Intangibles

One hundred and first overall in 2019 by Anaheim, two seasons, two organisations, and 13 points in 59 games.

A career minus-25 in 59 games. He was a fourth-round pick who was handed top-four minutes in his first full season, which says as much about the club as about him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 871 minutes

Expected goals
38.6%
2nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.6%
7th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 26 for, 46 against. Expected: 26.5 and 42.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
57th
Numbers
2nd

The report ranks him 55 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 871 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SJS took 40.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 38.6% — 2.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 871 minutes at five-on-five — 46th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jan Rutta38.9%38.3%37.6%
Fabian Zetterlund39.8%37.9%42.3%
Mikael Granlund34.7%40.5%43.1%

38.9% together, 38.3% for him apart and 37.6% for Rutta apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

71 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 35 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.