Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

40

Fedor Svechkov

Nashville Predators Center

The 19th pick in 2021, 12.5 per cent shooting in a defensive role, and 14 penalty minutes in 52 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25NSH528917-17142026412.512:53
2025-26 so far
Career528917-17142026412.512:53

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

52 games, 8 goals and 9 assists for 17 points at 12:53 a night, on 64 shots at 12.5 per cent — the best conversion rate among the club’s bottom-six forwards. 14 penalty minutes. Minus-17, on five-on-five goals of 16-24.

A 49.6 per cent chance share against an expectation that his line would finish roughly even at 20.22-20.55, so the process was sound and eight goals went the wrong way. That is 544 minutes, a small enough sample that it argues very little in either direction.

The Finesse Game

A defensive centre first, with more offence underneath it than the role shows. 33 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet and 12.5 per cent conversion on low volume suggests a man who shoots when the chance is genuine rather than to manufacture one.

The skating is average and the reads are ahead of it — he is usually in the right place, arrived at slightly late. The faceoff work is developing and the coaching staff already trusts him without the puck.

The Physical Game

187 pounds, honest rather than heavy. He is not moved easily and he does not initiate.

14 penalty minutes in 52 games in a checking role is excellent discipline, and on a club that led its division in shorthanded time it is the single most useful line on his page.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who took four years to arrive, two of them in Russia and one in the American League. Nothing about the development was rushed and nothing about the projection has changed.

He is a third-line centre who kills penalties, and this club needs one badly enough to give him the minutes.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 544 minutes

Expected goals
49.6%
48th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 16 for, 24 against. Expected: 20.2 and 20.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
8th
Numbers
48th

The numbers rank him 40 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 544 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NSH took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.6% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 544 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brady Skjei52.2%48.3%46.1%
Zachary L'Heureux53.0%48.3%50.0%
Thomas Novak60.2%45.5%52.6%

52.2% together, 48.3% for him apart and 46.1% for Skjei apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

105 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.