Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

27

Brett Kulak

Edmonton Oilers Defense

All 82 games at 15:23 for the club he grew up in, and a ledger that matched the chances.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15CGY1000020000—19:31
2015-16CGY8000-2000090.012:21
2016-17CGY21033-312000190.014:15
2017-18CGY71268-327000732.712:59
2018-19MTL5761117+12310131025.917:51
2019-20MTL56077-1120001010.017:08
2020-21MTL46268+320000573.516:06
2021-22MTL/EDM7451621-445000925.417:45
2022-23EDM8231720+11410001142.617:31
2023-24EDM8231316030001943.215:23
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—4982179100+132200146613.216:12

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 3 goals and 13 assists for 16 points, 30 penalty minutes, 15:23 a night and even. He took 54.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,176 minutes, the 85th percentile, and his ice went 45-44 against an expectation of 52.48-43.64.

Seven goals of scoring that did not arrive on a third pairing that was winning its minutes. Eighty-two games at fifteen minutes is the role, and he is one of very few Oilers who played every one of them.

The Finesse Game

94 shots at a median of 52 feet with 69 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 3.2 per cent. Twenty-one goals in 498 career games says all of it.

79 career assists in 498 games. He makes the simple first pass and skates the puck out when nobody is open, which is the whole of what a third-pair defenceman is asked to do with it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 192 and defends positionally rather than by force.

He blocks shots and takes the puck off the wall without needing to hit anybody. 30 penalty minutes in 82 games is a low rate and there is nothing in his game that generates them.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2012 out of Edmonton, ten seasons, and 100 points in 498 games. He is from here, which matters to people here and to nobody else.

He has been the same player for six years and the club knows exactly what it has. On a blue line with two elite men and a contract, a completely reliable third pairing is worth more than it looks.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He is 6-1 and 192 and defends positionally rather than by force.”

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots and takes the puck off the wall without needing to hit anybody.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He blocks shots and takes the puck off the wall without needing to hit anybody.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He makes the simple first pass and skates the puck out when nobody is open, which is the whole of what a third-pair defenceman is asked to do with it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,176 minutes

Expected goals
54.6%
85th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.2%
80th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 44 against. Expected: 52.5 and 43.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
11th
Numbers
85th

The numbers rank him 74 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
90th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.99 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.23 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.8 mph
70th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1176 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
EDM took 56.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.6% — 2.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,176 minutes at five-on-five — 81st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Vincent Desharnais53.6%56.0%54.3%
Ryan McLeod51.3%55.9%59.2%
Evander Kane57.3%53.5%49.4%

53.6% together, 56.0% for him apart and 54.3% for Desharnais apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

128 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 30 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 69% from beyond forty.