Dylan Coghlan
Carolina Hurricanes Defense
A 97.6 mph shot with 85 per cent of it from beyond 40 feet, and eight goals of scoring his ice created and never got.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | VGK | 29 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 9.7 | 13:29 |
| 2021-22 | VGK | 59 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 108 | 2.8 | 14:12 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 88 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -8 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 139 | 4.3 | 13:58 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
With Vegas. 3 goals and 10 assists in 59 games — 13 points at 14:12 a night, minus-5, with 2 power-play goals and 1 game-winner on 108 shots and 18 penalty minutes.
53.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 765 minutes, the 76th percentile among defencemen. His ice went 25-28 against an expectation of 33.33-29.39 — eight goals of scoring that the chances said should have arrived and did not, and one more conceded than they predicted.
Eight goals of missing finish across 765 minutes is a large gap and it is the sort that closes on its own.
The Finesse Game
108 attempts in 59 games from a third-pair defenceman, at a median of 52 feet with 85 per cent of them from beyond 40 and 2 per cent from inside 20 — off a 97.6 mph release, the 89th percentile among defencemen.
Three goals at 2.8 per cent. The shot is hard, the location is the point, and nothing arrives.
2 of his 13 points came on the power play. 19 points in 88 career games.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 205, and 18 penalty minutes in 59 games. Not physical, not soft, and nothing in the record stands out either way.
Top speed 22.0 mph at the 33rd percentile with 1.98 miles a game, which on fourteen minutes is unremarkable.
The Intangibles
Undrafted out of Tri-City, signed by Vegas at twenty, and 88 NHL games since.
He is 24, and Carolina acquired him in July alongside Max Pacioretty for future considerations — Vegas needed the cap space and gave both away. A right-shot defenceman of 24 with a 97.6 mph shot and a 76th-percentile chance share, obtained for nothing, is the sort of transaction that decides a fourth line or a third pair two years from now, and it is the half of that trade nobody wrote about.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
84.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 95th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“Undrafted out of Tri-City, signed by Vegas at twenty, and 88 NHL games since”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 765 minutes
- Expected goals
- 53.1%
- 76th pct
- Shot attempts
- 53.2%
- 79th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 28 against. Expected: 33.3 and 29.4.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 43 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 59 games
- Top speed
- 22.0 mph
- 68th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.53 a game
- Distance
- 1.98 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 97.6 mph
- 84th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 90.4
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 with VGK · 765 minutes at five-on-five
- Ben Hutton25%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- VGK took 52.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.1% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third pair, 765 minutes at five-on-five — 37th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Roy | 59.8% | 50.6% | 52.0% |
| Brayden McNabb | 53.9% | 52.8% | 50.2% |
| Keegan Kolesar | 48.5% | 54.8% | 51.5% |
59.8% together, 50.6% for him apart and 52.0% for Roy apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
155 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 85% from beyond forty.