Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2023-24 report →

15

Cal Clutterbuck

New York Islanders Right Wing

The 4th-most hits of 393 forwards at 34, with seventeen career short-handed goals and the 32nd-most buried chair of 652 skaters.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2007-08MIN2000000000—7:05
2008-09MIN7811718-5761011368.113:00
2009-10MIN7413821-8521211369.614:17
2010-11MIN76191534-57940319110.015:51
2011-12MIN74151227-41033421619.316:21
2012-13MIN424610-527001874.613:44
2013-14NYI7312719-9500311727.014:20
2014-15NYI767916+1600241245.712:44
2015-16NYI7715823+7220258018.811:55
2016-17NYI6651520+2280011154.314:00
2017-18NYI7681018-7530111017.912:47
2018-19NYI7381523+644302958.413:58
2019-20NYI37347+622010358.613:25
2020-21NYI504711-510011508.013:26
2021-22NYI596915-610011748.114:03
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—933130132262-3263612172415578.313:51

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

59 games, 6 goals and 9 assists at 14:03 a night, minus-6, ten penalty minutes, 74 shots. Seventy-second overall in 2006 by Minnesota, fifteen seasons, 933 games, 262 points, 636 career penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

1.19 even-strength points per 60 is the 15th percentile and no power-play time at all — six seconds a night.

5.36 shots per 60 is the 16th percentile at 8.1 per cent, forty-seven per cent from the slot at a 26-foot median. 83.4 mph is the 29th-softest shot of the 365 forwards the tracking covers.

1.01 giveaways per 60 is the 18th percentile — he does not lose it, largely because he does not carry it.

46.2 per cent of the expected goals and 45.9 per cent of the attempts, from 33.8 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 32nd-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. His ice went 14-23 against an expectation of 20.57-23.93 — six goals short going forward.

The Physical Game

16.59 hits per 60 is the 4th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, at 5-11 and 215 pounds in his fifteenth season. Matt Martin, on the same line, is 2nd.

0.94 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.36 taken is the 91st-percentile net, and ten penalty minutes in fifty-nine games. The most physical line in hockey took almost nothing on his shifts, which is not what the reputation predicts.

1.67 blocks per 60 is the 48th percentile.

The Intangibles

2:00 short-handed a night is the 32nd-most of 393 forwards, and seventeen of his 130 career goals have come a man short.

22.1 mph is the 100th of 365 forwards from the bottom, 2.6 bursts per 60 the 15th percentile, 9.31 miles per 60 the 22nd. He barely sprints and covers little ground.

He is 34 with 933 games and 636 penalty minutes. The hit rate is a top-five figure in the league in a fifteenth season, the penalty ledger is excellent, and the seventeen short-handed goals are the quiet part of a long career. Six goals is what remains of the rest.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    34% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 6th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “16.59 hits per 60 is the 4th-most of the 393 forwards who played forty games, at 5-11 and 215 pounds in his fifteenth season.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “2:00 short-handed a night is the 32nd-most of 393 forwards, and seventeen of his 130 career goals have come a man short.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 693 minutes

Expected goals
46.2%
24th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.9%
21st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 23 against. Expected: 20.6 and 23.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
33rd
Numbers
24th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 59 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
47th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.61 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.18 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.4 mph
31st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 693 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
NYI took 46.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.2% — 0.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 693 minutes at five-on-five — 31st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Casey Cizikas47.6%42.9%37.2%
Matt Martin49.0%41.6%44.8%
Scott Mayfield44.4%47.3%49.7%

47.6% together, 42.9% for him apart and 37.2% for Cizikas apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

91 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 37 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.