Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
63

Ivan Miroshnichenko

Washington Capitals Left Wing

Twenty-one games at 20, from a twentieth-overall pick.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24WSH21246-46000306.712:08
2024-25 so far
Career21246-46000306.712:08

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

21 games, 2 goals and 4 assists for 6 points, 6 penalty minutes, 12:08 a night and minus-4. He took 48.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 243 minutes, the 43rd percentile, and his ice went 7-11 against an expectation of 10.38-10.95.

Three goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and level at the other end. Twenty-one games is the whole of his NHL career and he is 20.

The Finesse Game

57 attempts at a median of 27 feet with 37 per cent of them from inside twenty and 21 per cent from beyond forty, 29 of those on goal, converted at 6.7 per cent against the same figure for his career.

Two career goals and 4 assists in 21 games. Only 29 of his 57 attempts reached the goaltender, which is the lowest proportion of any forward on this club; the shot is genuinely heavy and it is not yet accurate.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 185 and took 6 penalty minutes.

Six career penalty minutes in 21 games. He is an ordinary size for a winger at 20 and there is filling out still to come; he goes to the inside without yet being able to hold ground there.

The Intangibles

Twentieth overall in 2022 by Washington, one season, and 6 points in 21 games.

A career minus-4 in 21 games. He is 20, he was a first-round pick by this club, and 21 games is everything anybody knows about him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 243 minutes

Expected goals
48.7%
44th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.5%
31st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 7 for, 11 against. Expected: 10.4 and 10.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
84th
Numbers
44th

The report ranks him 40 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 243 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WSH took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.7% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
243 minutes at five-on-five — 3rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dylan Strome56.6%38.7%53.9%
John Carlson57.1%43.8%47.1%
Rasmus Sandin37.2%53.7%47.1%

56.6% together, 38.7% for him apart and 53.9% for Strome apart. He was worse away from Strome, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Strome did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

57 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.