Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

5

Connor Murphy

Chicago Blackhawks Defense

Blocks shots and clears the front of his own net, which on this roster makes him the only one who does.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14PHX30178+510001303.317:59
2014-15ARI73437-2742000725.616:48
2015-16ARI7861117+5481011015.920:31
2016-17ARI7721517-1345011812.519:11
2017-18CHI7621214-3340001091.816:22
2018-19CHI525813+1240001845.919:29
2019-20CHI5851419+2270001174.321:15
2020-21CHI5031215+135101783.922:09
2021-22CHI574610-1447001715.621:46
2022-23CHI807613-1069020858.219:23
2023-24CHI46268-1940000513.919:50
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—67741100141-614372368794.719:25

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Forty-six games, 2 goals and 6 assists, 19:50 a night and minus-19. He took 43.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 785 minutes, the 11th percentile, and his ice went 22-42 against an expectation of 27.98-37.15.

The chances and the goals agree almost exactly, which means the shifts were what they looked like. He is 31 and has now missed a significant part of four of the last six seasons.

The Finesse Game

Fifty-one shots at a median of 56 feet with 79 per cent from beyond 40. Two of them went in. He is not part of the offence and has scored more than 5 goals in a season once in eleven years.

The puck leaves his stick quickly and it usually leaves in the right direction, which is the whole of the puck game. Forty-one goals and 100 assists in 677 games is the record of a man who was never asked.

The Physical Game

He blocks shots and clears the front of his own net, and at 6-4 and 212 both things are done properly rather than gestured at. Four hundred and thirty-seven penalty minutes in 677 games is the rate of a defenceman who plays the front of the net for a living and occasionally pays for it.

He is hard to move from the paint on a penalty kill and that is where his value on this club sits.

The Intangibles

Taken 20th overall by Phoenix in 2011 and now in his eighth season in Chicago, through the end of one era and most of a rebuild. He is the senior defenceman in the room and on a blue line with a nineteen-year-old and a twenty-year-old on it the value of that is not on the scoresheet.

The health is the whole question. Forty-six games is not enough to matter and it is becoming the pattern.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it

    “He blocks shots and clears the front of his own net, and at 6-4 and 212 both things are done properly rather than gestured at.”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He is hard to move from the paint on a penalty kill and that is where his value on this club sits.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 785 minutes

Expected goals
43%
11th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.7%
16th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 22 for, 42 against. Expected: 28.0 and 37.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
2nd
Numbers
11th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 53 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 46 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
47th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7

Bursts over 20 mph
0.07 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.75 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.3 mph
36th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.2

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 785 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CHI took 41.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.0% — 1.1 above the club he did it on.
The role
785 minutes at five-on-five — 37th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kevin Korchinski40.3%44.5%40.8%
Jason Dickinson42.5%43.1%47.6%
Philipp Kurashev40.5%43.8%41.2%

40.3% together, 44.5% for him apart and 40.8% for Korchinski apart. He was better away from Korchinski, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Korchinski.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

68 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 47 feet. 4% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 79% from beyond forty.