Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Connor McMichael

Photo by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0

Connor McMichael

St. Louis Blues Left Wing #77

46 points, and 52 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21WSH10000200010.09:54
2021-22WSH689918-3100001058.610:28
2022-23WSH60000500020.08:52
2023-24WSH80181533-203421313513.315:59
2024-25WSH82263157+194940517714.716:49
2025-26WSH78143246+8302051429.916:54
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—3156787154+4130811356211.915:05

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 32 assists in 78 games — 46 points, plus-8, at 16:54 a night. His 5-on-5 work was done in Washington.

The Finesse Game

The shot chart is excellent. 198 unblocked attempts with 52 per cent from inside 20 feet and a median of 19, and only 14 per cent from beyond 40.

14 goals from that ice is a poor conversion and the reason is weight rather than placement — he gets to the right spots and does not get clean looks from them.

32 assists is the real number and the best rate of his career. 154 points in 315 career games.

The Physical Game

6 foot even and 180 pounds, and light. 30 penalty minutes.

The skating is genuinely quick and it is how he survives in the interior at that weight. He does not win a wall battle and does not try to.

The Intangibles

46.9 per cent of the expected goals, 28th percentile, and 46.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 25th, across 1,020 minutes in Washington — with the goals 48 for and 45 against.

That 9-goal gap between the goals and the chances has almost nothing to do with him: Washington’s goaltending came in 29 goals better than the chances it faced, the best in the league. The chances underneath were 42.3 to 48.0 against.

He is 25, a 25th overall pick, and joins a top 6 that already has Thomas, Buchnevich, Holloway and Snuggerud. That is a good problem and a real one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,020 minutes

Expected goals
46.9%
28th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.9%
26th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 45 against. Expected: 42.3 and 48.0.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
61st
Numbers
28th

The report ranks him 33 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 78 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
85th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.23 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.69 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.4 mph
89th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

12

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 8 assists, 17 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with WSH · 1020 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
WSH took 49.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.9% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,020 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jakob Chychrun48.7%45.6%50.9%
Ryan Leonard47.9%46.3%44.5%
Matt Roy49.2%45.5%47.0%

48.7% together, 45.6% for him apart and 50.9% for Chychrun apart. He was worse away from Chychrun, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Chychrun did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

198 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.