Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Ryan Leonard

Photo by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Ryan Leonard

Washington Capitals Right Wing #9

20 goals at 21, and the 21st percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25WSH9101-411000175.914:11
2025-26WSH75202545+24740315313.114:25
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—84212546-25840317012.314:24

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 25 assists in 75 games — 45 points, plus-2, at 14:25 a night with 4 power-play goals and 47 penalty minutes. His first full professional season.

46 points in 84 career games.

He turned 21 in January.

The Finesse Game

The shot is the tool and it is heavy. 240 unblocked attempts, 21 goals, median 34 feet with only 26 per cent from inside 20 and 33 per cent from beyond 40.

20 goals off that chart at 21 is genuinely good and it is the profile that has to change — the goals are coming from range, and the strength to work inside is the next thing.

25 assists in 14 minutes a night is a real rate.

The Physical Game

6-1, 205, and he plays with a hard, abrasive edge — 47 penalty minutes in his first full season is a high rate and it is deliberate.

He forechecks with intent and finishes checks. That was the scouting report at 8th overall and it has arrived intact.

The Intangibles

45.9 per cent of the expected goals, 21st percentile, and 45.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 18th — the weakest figures of any Washington regular — across 895 minutes, with the chances 36.7 to 43.2 against.

The goals came out 43 for and 28 against anyway, which is Thompson.

9 points in his last 10, 5 of them goals. He is 21, and 20 goals in a first full season is the line that matters. The rest of this page is what the second season is for.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    32.9% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 895 minutes

Expected goals
45.9%
21st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.9%
18th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 43 for, 28 against. Expected: 36.7 and 43.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
21st
Blind
67th

The report ranks him 68 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 46 points from the numbers; this one lands 68. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 75 games

Top speed
24.3 mph
99th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.64 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.18 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.9 mph
95th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

9

points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 4 assists, 29 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 895 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
WSH took 49.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.9% — 3.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 895 minutes at five-on-five — 47th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Connor McMichael47.9%44.5%46.3%
Jakob Chychrun47.9%44.8%51.0%
Matt Roy45.9%45.9%48.1%

47.9% together, 44.5% for him apart and 46.3% for McMichael apart. He was worse away from McMichael, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than McMichael did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

240 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 33% from beyond forty.