Armchair Scout
34

Justin Sourdif

Washington Capitals Center

Fifteen goals in his first full season, and plus seventeen.

SeasonGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2025-2678152035+173530110813.914:44
Career82162036+183530211214.314:27

Last Season

Fifteen goals and 20 assists in 78 games — 35 points, plus-17, at 14:44 a night with three power-play goals and 35 penalty minutes. His first full professional season.

Thirty-six points in 82 career games.

The Finesse Game

A hundred and seventy-one unblocked attempts, fifteen goals, median 24 feet with 47 per cent from inside twenty — good ice and a fair conversion for a first-year forward.

Twenty assists in fifteen minutes a night is a genuine rate and the two halves are balanced, which is unusual at this stage.

The Physical Game

Six foot even, 195, and he plays a willing, honest game — forechecks, finishes checks, goes to the net. Thirty-five penalty minutes.

He is not big and does not shrink from anything. The skating is fair.

The Intangibles

Forty-nine point nine per cent of the expected goals, 52nd percentile, and 50.2 per cent of the shot attempts, 59th, across 1,033 minutes.

Level chance share across a thousand minutes in a first full season is a good result, and on this club it is the third-best forward figure behind Wilson and Protas.

Six points in his last ten, two of them goals. He is 24, an eighty-seventh overall pick who came from Florida, and thirty-five points from a third-round pick in his first season is the kind of thing that makes a cap sheet work.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1033 minutes

Expected goals
49.9%
52nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.2%
59th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 38 against. Expected: 44.4 and 44.5.

The eye and the numbers

Report
77
Numbers
52

The numbers are colder on him than this report is — worth asking who he played with, and against whom.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

6

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 4 assists, 15 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1033 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

171 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.