Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Connor Bedard

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Connor Bedard

Chicago Blackhawks Center #98

75 points at 20, on the worst offensive team in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24CHI68223961-442840220610.719:47
2024-25CHI82234467-3670110519511.820:17
2025-26CHI69304575-185070522613.320:52
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—21975128203-981482201262712.020:19

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

30 goals and 45 assists in 69 games — 75 points, minus-18, at 20:52 a night. 226 shots on goal. He turned 20 in July.

The Finesse Game

The release is the thing, and it is already among the best in the sport: he changes the angle and the speed of the puck in the same motion, and goaltenders have to respect a shot from ice where nobody else is a threat.

The passing has caught up faster than expected. 45 assists on a club that finished 32nd in even-strength expected goals means he is manufacturing offence out of nothing, repeatedly, with linemates who cannot finish.

The one criticism the shot chart supports: only 25 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet, median 30. He shoots from distance because he has to — there is nobody to give it to and nobody screening — but the habit is forming either way.

The Physical Game

5-10, 190, and stronger on the puck than that suggests. 50 penalty minutes is a young star who has worked out that nobody is going to protect him.

He gets hit constantly and keeps coming back, which is the part of his makeup people underrate.

The Intangibles

The on-ice numbers are dreadful — 43.5 per cent of the expected goals, 6th percentile — and they are close to meaningless. Chicago was 45.6 per cent as a club, worst in the league; every skater in this section sits in the bottom fifth, and Bedard played the hardest minutes of any of them.

The goals went 53-65 against him while the expected goals went 47.4 to 61.6. He was drowning with everyone else.

9 points in his last 10. 75 points at 20 on a team this bad is the most impressive individual season in this book, and it will be years before the numbers underneath say so.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    16:09 a game at five-on-five, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,114 minutes

Expected goals
43.5%
9th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43.9%
7th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 53 for, 65 against. Expected: 47.4 and 61.6.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
92nd
Numbers
9th

The report ranks him 83 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 69 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.83 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.41 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.7 mph
87th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

9

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 8 assists, 38 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1114 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
CHI took 43.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.5% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,114 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Greene43.9%43.1%41.5%
Andre Burakovsky45.9%41.0%45.1%
Alex Vlasic37.8%46.3%42.3%

43.9% together, 43.1% for him apart and 41.5% for Greene apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

339 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 32 of them goals. His median goal came from 26 feet. 25% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.