Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

34

Colton Dach

Edmonton Oilers Center

A 6-4 winger with a decent set of hands who has spent 3 years being almost ready.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25CHI25257-317000277.412:08
2025-26CHI/EDM615813-1552101588.611:29
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—8671320-1869101858.211:40

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 13 points in 61 games across Chicago and Edmonton, on about 11 minutes a night. Through 86 career games he has 20 points, which is a bottom-6 rate.

The Finesse Game

Better hands than the frame suggests. He can make a play in tight, he protects the puck well below the goal line, and he has enough of a shot to score from the slot when the puck finds him there.

What he lacks is pace. He is not a quick skater, and against NHL defensemen that means the extra half-second he needs to make his play is not there. Most of his offense comes from getting to the net and from second chances rather than from anything he creates himself.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 218, and this is the part of his game that will keep him employed. He forechecks hard, is difficult to move off the puck, and is comfortable in the traffic that smaller skilled players avoid.

The Intangibles

Chicago’s second-round pick in 2021, and injuries have taken chunks out of 3 of his development years. He is 23, which is still young enough for a big forward.

The path is a straightforward one: be the heavy, competent third-line winger who can take a shift with skilled centers and not sink it. He is close to that and has not held it down for a full season yet.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 652 minutes

Expected goals
43.9%
10th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.4%
30th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 27 against. Expected: 19.6 and 25.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
55th
Numbers
10th

The report ranks him 45 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 61 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
68th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.90 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.92 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.1 mph
38th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

6

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 4 assists, 13 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with CHI · 573 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.9% — 7.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
652 minutes at five-on-five — 27th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Wyatt Kaiser38.6%46.6%44.9%
Ryan Donato38.5%46.0%44.9%
Connor Murphy54.1%40.2%45.5%

38.6% together, 46.6% for him apart and 44.9% for Kaiser apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

109 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.