Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

34

Colton Dach

Chicago Blackhawks Center

25 games at 22, 6-4 and 218 pounds, and a first NHL look.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25CHI25257-317000277.412:08
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—25257-317000277.412:08

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 5 assists in 25 games for 7 points, minus-3, on 12:08 a night.

41.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 5th percentile, over 289 minutes — a team number in a small sample. 54 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 15, which is the useful observation.

The Finesse Game

Modest and correctly directed. 27 shots in 25 games is low volume and all of it comes from close range; the hands are functional in tight and there is no rush game.

5 assists in 25 games is not enough to judge. Nothing suggests a scorer.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 218, and this is the case for him. He goes to the net, wins pucks below the goal line, and is difficult to move once he decides where to stand.

17 penalty minutes in 25 games is a high rate and reads as a young player finding the edge.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick, a brother in the league, a serious shoulder injury that cost him a full season, and a first NHL stretch at 22.

The realistic projection is a third-line net-front forward. On a club with this much ice time available he will get a real chance to become it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He goes to the net, wins pucks below the goal line, and is difficult to move once he decides where to stand.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He goes to the net, wins pucks below the goal line, and is difficult to move once he decides where to stand.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “is difficult to move once he decides where to stand”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “the hands are functional in tight and there is no rush game”

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “17 penalty minutes in 25 games is a high rate and reads as a young player finding the edge.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 289 minutes

Expected goals
41.4%
5th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
41%
2nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 14 against. Expected: 9.5 and 13.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
55th
Numbers
5th

The report ranks him 50 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 25 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
27th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.84 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.00 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.8 mph
27th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 289 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CHI took 43.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.4% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
289 minutes at five-on-five — 5th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Frank Nazar41.4%41.3%43.1%
Connor Bedard43.9%40.0%41.6%
Alex Vlasic44.5%39.7%42.5%

41.4% together, 41.3% for him apart and 43.1% for Nazar apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

39 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 54% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.