Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Kirby Dach

Photo by CloutsnChara Sports Cards, CC BY 3.0

Kirby Dach

Montréal Canadiens Center #77

The third pick in his draft, 7 years on, with 136 career points and a knee that keeps ending his seasons.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20CHI6481523-1240021017.914:16
2020-21CHI182810-34100267.718:34
2021-22CHI7091726-18432001167.818:03
2022-23MTL58142438-24360210713.118:30
2023-24MTL2022+2000030.013:01
2024-25MTL57101222-29401028411.915:40
2025-26MTL378715-2310004717.013:39
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—3065185136-53185100648410.516:22

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 15 points in 37 games, minus-2, on 13 and a half minutes a night. He has now failed to finish 4 of the last 5 seasons.

The Finesse Game

The skill that made him the third pick is still visible in flashes. He is 6-4 with real hands, he protects the puck well, and he can make a play off the wall that most big centres cannot. When he has been healthy and settled he has looked like a genuine second-line centre.

The problem is that the flashes are all there has been. 47 shots in 37 games, a point every 2 and a half games, and no sustained stretch since he arrived. Whether that is the injuries or the player is now impossible to separate.

The skating was never quick and has not improved.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 221, and he uses it inconsistently. He can dominate below the goal line when he decides to and disappears for long stretches when he does not.

The knee is the central fact of his career. 2 major surgeries by 24 is a great deal.

The Intangibles

He was traded here as a reclamation project and the club has been patient beyond what most would be.

At 25 he is out of the window where potential is the argument. He needs a healthy 80-game season to prove anything at all, and he has not had one in this league.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 453 minutes

Expected goals
47.1%
30th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.5%
31st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 22 for, 22 against. Expected: 17.6 and 19.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
67th
Numbers
30th

The report ranks him 37 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 37 games

Top speed
23.4 mph
94th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.84 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.27 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
83.2 mph
39th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 3 assists, 16 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 453 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
MTL took 49.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.1% — 2.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 453 minutes at five-on-five — 14th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zachary Bolduc53.3%38.1%51.1%
Mike Matheson37.9%52.5%47.8%
Lane Hutson53.4%42.9%55.6%

53.3% together, 38.1% for him apart and 51.1% for Bolduc apart. He was worse away from Bolduc, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Bolduc did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

75 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.