This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Collin Graf
San Jose Sharks Right Wing
Undrafted out of Quinnipiac, and 44 per cent of his shot attempts from inside 20 feet in a 33-game rookie season.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | SJS | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 16:36 |
| 2024-25 | SJS | 33 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 12.5 | 15:52 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 40 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 10.6 | 15:60 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
5 goals and 6 assists in 33 games — 11 points at 15:52 a night, minus-4, with a shorthanded goal and only 8 penalty minutes.
41.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 4th percentile, across 415 minutes. His ice went 14-18 against an expectation of 12.19-16.89, which on a sample that small says almost nothing.
The Finesse Game
40 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 44 per cent from inside 20 and only 6 per cent from beyond 40 — the least perimeter profile of any forward on this roster. He goes to the middle and he shoots from there.
6 assists in 33 games. He was a point-a-game college player and the hands are the reason San Jose signed him out of a bidding war; the pace of the NHL game is the thing he has yet to solve.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 190 and honest without being heavy. He forechecks properly and he is not going to move a defenceman off a puck.
8 penalty minutes in 33 games. He is disciplined and uninvolved in the physical half of the game, which for a rookie winger is neutral rather than good.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, and he signed with San Jose in 2024 after three seasons at Quinnipiac, where he won a national championship and finished as a Hobey Baker finalist.
40 NHL games and 13 points. He is 23 and on a club that will give any young forward as much rope as he can use.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 415 minutes
- Expected goals
- 41.9%
- 5th pct
- Shot attempts
- 43.9%
- 7th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 18 against. Expected: 12.2 and 16.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 31 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 · 415 minutes at five-on-five
- Will Smith16%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- SJS took 44.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.9% — 2.3 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 415 minutes at five-on-five — 12th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Ferraro | 46.8% | 38.2% | 46.3% |
| Timothy Liljegren | 41.2% | 42.4% | 48.5% |
| Alexander Wennberg | 52.1% | 36.1% | 42.7% |
46.8% together, 38.2% for him apart and 46.3% for Ferraro apart. He was worse away from Ferraro, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Ferraro did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
54 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.