Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

7

Brendan Smith

Dallas Stars Defense

Seven hundred and fifty-four penalty minutes in 694 games, at thirty-five, on the second-best defensive club in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2011-12DET14167+313000137.715:38
2012-13DET34088+136000330.018:24
2013-14DET7151419-268100905.618:23
2014-15DET764913-268001884.517:53
2015-16DET6331215+162100823.717:36
2016-17DET/NYR51369+163101624.819:14
2017-18NYR44178+269000661.517:10
2018-19NYR634913-771000666.115:18
2019-20NYR62358-1271010456.711:06
2020-21NYR485510+373000588.616:26
2021-22CAR45448+636001636.313:55
2022-23NJD60055+363000580.015:33
2023-24NJD6351015-361000608.316:06
2024-25 so far
Career69438100138-67543137844.916:23

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Sixty-three games in New Jersey, 5 goals and 10 assists, 61 penalty minutes, 16:06 a night and minus-3. He took 51.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 846 minutes, the 60th percentile, and his ice went 40-26 against an expectation of 32.61-31.29.

Fourteen goals of scoring above expectation on a third pair in New Jersey, and a minus-3 on a club whose goaltending was 26th in the league. It is a good season and a small one.

The Finesse Game

Sixty shots at a median of 50 feet with 15 per cent from inside 20, and 5 went in — a career-best rate against 38 goals in 694 games.

One hundred career assists across thirteen seasons. He moves the puck simply and quickly and has never been asked for more, and at 35 there is no reason to start.

The Physical Game

Seven hundred and fifty-four penalty minutes in 694 games is one of the highest career rates on any roster in this edition, and almost none of it is incidental. He will fight anybody and has done for thirteen seasons.

He takes liberties with players who have taken them with teammates, and he answers for it. At 6-2 and 200 he is not the biggest man on the ice and it has never once made a difference to him.

The Intangibles

The 27th pick in 2007 out of Wisconsin, thirteen seasons and 694 games across five organisations. He is 35 and has been the man in every room who says the thing that needs saying.

Dallas has the youngest important players in the league and a blue line that avoids contact. This is what the signing is for and it is not subtle.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 846 minutes

Expected goals
51%
61st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.2%
47th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 40 for, 26 against. Expected: 32.6 and 31.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
61st

The numbers rank him 25 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with NJD · 846 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NJD took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.0% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
846 minutes at five-on-five — 43rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kevin Bahl53.1%50.1%50.6%
Luke Hughes48.4%52.1%52.6%
Erik Haula48.5%52.0%53.6%

53.1% together, 50.1% for him apart and 50.6% for Bahl apart. He was worse away from Bahl, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Bahl did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

88 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 15% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 68% from beyond forty.