Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
22

Brendan Lemieux

Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing

Seventy-four penalty minutes in 45 games, two goals, and the 4th percentile in distance covered.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18WPG9101+221000616.77:56
2018-19WPG/NYR6312517+61080016717.99:03
2019-20NYR5961218-14111210867.012:52
2020-21NYR/LAK494711-273001508.010:07
2021-22LAK508513+1970026512.310:45
2022-23LAK/PHI45279-374000444.510:11
2023-24 so far
Career275333669-1048421431810.410:31

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 7 assists in 45 games between Los Angeles and Philadelphia — 9 points at 10:11 a night, minus-3, with 74 penalty minutes on 44 shots at 4.55 per cent.

48.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 444 minutes, the 41st percentile. His ice went 15-20 against an expectation of 16.01-16.78.

Two clubs in a season, and a third for this one.

The Finesse Game

44 attempts at a median of 25 feet, 40 per cent from inside twenty. One goal on sixteen shots from inside twenty, one from the middle band, none from beyond forty.

There is not enough here to grade a finesse game and the career line does not add much: 33 goals in 275 games at 10.38 per cent. He has scored in double figures once.

What the shot chart does say is that he goes to the right places. What it cannot say is whether anything arrives when he does.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 215 with 74 penalty minutes in 45 games and 484 in 275 career games, which is the entire report.

1.69 miles a game is the 4th percentile in the league and 23.3 mph is the 94th — a man who barely leaves his own small area and is quick inside it. He crosses the line and knows exactly where it is, and the 484 minutes are the record of it.

At 27 that is a full description of a fourth-line role that fewer clubs are carrying every year.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick at 31st overall by Buffalo in 2014, and the son of a player whose reputation was built on the same thing his has been.

Several organisations by 27. Carolina’s fourth line has been a genuine asset for several seasons and it has not been built out of this kind of player, which is the question his signing raises.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • takes-libertiesa strength· crosses the line and knows where it is

    “He crosses the line and knows exactly where it is”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 444 minutes

Expected goals
48.8%
41st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.5%
66th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 20 against. Expected: 16.0 and 16.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
15th
Numbers
41st

The numbers rank him 26 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 120 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 with LAK · 226 minutes at five-on-five

  • Blake Lizotte54%
  • Rasmus Kuparinow WPG34%
  • Carl Grundstrom34%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
PHI took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.8% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
444 minutes at five-on-five — 12th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Blake Lizotte59.7%43.4%52.7%
Carl Grundstrom60.7%45.8%50.9%
Ivan Provorov37.2%52.6%46.5%

59.7% together, 43.4% for him apart and 52.7% for Lizotte apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

55 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.