This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Carl Grundstrom
Los Angeles Kings Right Wing
Twelve goals in fifty-seven games from ten minutes a night, all of them from inside forty feet.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | LAK | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19.2 | 14:58 |
| 2019-20 | LAK | 13 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0.0 | 12:46 |
| 2020-21 | LAK | 47 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 66 | 9.1 | 12:28 |
| 2021-22 | LAK | 54 | 9 | 6 | 15 | +4 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 83 | 10.8 | 10:53 |
| 2022-23 | LAK | 57 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 90 | 13.3 | 10:45 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 186 | 32 | 23 | 55 | -12 | 72 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 281 | 11.4 | 11:42 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
12 goals and 7 assists in 57 games — 19 points — at 10:45 a night. Minus-4, 90 shots at 13.3 per cent, 16 penalty minutes, two game-winners.
Twelve goals from under eleven minutes a night is a strong return and a career high by three.
52.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 69th percentile, with his ice at 25-27 against an expectation of 23.89-21.79 across 576 minutes.
Five seasons, 186 games, 55 points, all of them in Los Angeles.
The Finesse Game
90 shots at a median of 26 feet, 38 per cent from inside twenty and 26 per cent from beyond forty.
Beyond forty: 25 shots on goal and no goals. Inside forty: 59 shots and 12 goals — 20.34 per cent.
All twelve came from inside forty feet, and the conversion rate there is the second-highest on the club behind Kempe’s 20.35. Fifty-nine shots is a small sample and this book will not call it a skill on that evidence; what it will say is that his shot selection is close to ideal for a fourth-line winger.
24 tip-ins out of 132 tracked attempts.
95.3 mph at the 79th percentile, on four slap shots, so treat the number lightly.
The Physical Game
6-0 and 200, and sixteen penalty minutes.
Top speed 21.9 mph, the 29th percentile; bursts 1.1 a game, the 61st; 1.76 miles a game, the 6th.
He plays a heavy game in a short shift: he forechecks the first man, finishes his check and gets to the net front. At 200 pounds on a fourth line that is the job and he does all three parts of it.
The Intangibles
Fifty-seventh overall in 2016 to Toronto, traded to Los Angeles at twenty-one, and never anywhere else since.
61.0 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 92nd percentile.
He has been in and out of the line-up for five seasons and has never played sixty games. The goals say he should; the availability says he has not.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
61% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
“He plays a heavy game in a short shift: he forechecks the first man, finishes his check and gets to the net front.”
“He plays a heavy game in a short shift: he forechecks the first man, finishes his check and gets to the net front.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 576 minutes
- Expected goals
- 52.3%
- 69th pct
- Shot attempts
- 52.1%
- 72nd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 27 against. Expected: 23.9 and 21.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 57 games
- Top speed
- 21.9 mph
- 39th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.12 a game
- Distance
- 1.76 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 95.3 mph
- 93rd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 576 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- LAK took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.3% — 1.2 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 576 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Kupari | 56.6% | 48.0% | 46.8% |
| Blake Lizotte | 49.7% | 53.9% | 54.9% |
| Sean Walker | 52.1% | 52.4% | 51.7% |
56.6% together, 48.0% for him apart and 46.8% for Kupari apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
125 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 39% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.