Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Brayden Point

Photo by 5of7, CC BY-SA 2.0

Brayden Point

Tampa Bay Lightning Center #21

720 games, and 60 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17TBL68182240+41450212214.817:08
2017-18TBL82323466+1824531221714.819:37
2018-19TBL79415192+2728200719121.518:55
2019-20TBL66253964+281180414117.718:54
2020-21TBL56232548+21160613117.618:26
2021-22TBL66283058-533100417615.919:28
2022-23TBL82514495+27200923521.719:40
2023-24TBL81464490-16141501222720.320:02
2024-25TBL77424082+177160718922.219:29
2025-26TBL63183250+121460012914.018:15
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—720324361685+89163111363175818.419:03

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

18 goals and 32 assists in 63 games — 50 points, plus-12, at 18:15 a night with 6 power-play goals and only 14 penalty minutes. 19 games missed.

His 720th career game and his 685th point. 324 career goals.

The Finesse Game

60 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet with a median of 17, and only 8 per cent from beyond 40 — the second-best location profile on a club that has 3 of the best in the league.

189 attempts produced 20 goals. That is a modest total by his standards and it comes from missing 19 games rather than from anything on the chart.

32 assists in 63 games is a point-a-game playmaker’s rate.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 177 pounds, and among the lightest first-line centres in the league. 14 penalty minutes in 63 games is very low.

He wins pucks by being early and gets to the interior on quickness. It has cost him games most seasons and the 19 missed here are part of a pattern.

The Intangibles

53.6 per cent of the expected goals, 80th percentile, and 52.3 per cent of the shot attempts, 76th, across 867 minutes, with the goals 61-39 in his favour.

On a club where 4 forwards cleared the 88th percentile, those are the weakest figures among Tampa’s top 6 — which says more about the company than about him.

5 points in his last 10. He is 30, 2 Stanley Cups, and the third-best forward on his own team, which is a strange thing to write about a 300-goal centre.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    71.4% of his attempts in the slot, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 867 minutes

Expected goals
53.6%
80th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.3%
76th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 39 against. Expected: 41.2 and 35.7.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
92nd
Numbers
80th
Blind
89th

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 9 points from the numbers; this one lands 12. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 63 games

Top speed
23.5 mph
94th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
5.00 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.99 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
77.3 mph
13th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

5

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 3 assists, 26 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 867 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
TBL took 53.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.6% — 0.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 867 minutes at five-on-five — 44th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nikita Kucherov55.2%50.9%59.7%
Jake Guentzel53.1%54.3%55.2%
J.J. Moser57.5%50.4%54.8%

55.2% together, 50.9% for him apart and 59.7% for Kucherov apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Kucherov and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

189 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 60% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.