Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

26

Corey Schueneman

Montreal Canadiens Defense

Undrafted, twenty-four games at 16:36 on the club that allowed the most goals in the league.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22MTL24246-58000306.716:36
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—24246-58000306.716:36

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 4 assists in twenty-four games at 16:36 a night, minus-5, eight penalty minutes. 5-11 and 204 pounds, at 27, and this was his entire NHL career.

Nobody drafted him and he reached the NHL at 26, which on a last-place club is both an achievement and a description of the club.

The Finesse Game

Three hundred and fifty-seven five-on-five minutes is far below the qualifying lines.

His ice took 42.3 per cent of the five-on-five expected goals. His ice went 10-15 against an expectation of 14.28-19.47 — the chances against were worse than the goals against, so the goaltending saved him four, which is the opposite of most lines in this chapter.

Thirty shots at a 51-foot median with 76 per cent from beyond forty feet. A point shot, at 89.9 mph.

54.1 per cent of his end-zone starts came in the attacking end — he was being protected, on the worst defensive club in hockey, and the share still came out at 42.3.

The Physical Game

Eight penalty minutes in twenty-four games is a low rate. Across 357 minutes there is nothing else the counting stats can support.

The Intangibles

21.1 mph is the 5th percentile of the 568 skaters who played forty games — among the slowest maxima the league recorded — and 2.36 miles a game is the 33rd. He is not quick and works an ordinary amount.

A 5-11 undrafted defenceman getting sixteen minutes a night at 27. On a club with four defencemen leaving, twenty-four games is a foot in the door and nothing more, and the record contains no evidence in either direction. The next hundred games are the report.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undraftedpresent and ordinary· arrived without a pick attached

    “Nobody drafted him and he reached the NHL at 26, which on a last-place club is both an achievement and a description of the club.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 357 minutes

Expected goals
42.3%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.8%
20th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 15 against. Expected: 14.3 and 19.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
6th
Numbers
8th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 48 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 24 games

Top speed
21.1 mph
32nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.38 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.36 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.9 mph
36th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 357 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
MTL took 46.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.3% — 3.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
357 minutes at five-on-five — 11th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Chris Wideman45.7%39.8%48.1%
Mike Hoffman50.1%38.8%41.8%
Nick Suzuki42.5%42.2%45.8%

45.7% together, 39.8% for him apart and 48.1% for Wideman apart. He was worse away from Wideman, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Wideman did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

46 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 50 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.