This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Barrett Hayton
Arizona Coyotes Center
Fifth overall in 2018, and 31 points in 94 games by twenty-two — with the largest with-and-without gap on the roster underneath it.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-20 | ARI | 20 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 3.7 | 11:09 |
| 2020-21 | ARI | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 20.0 | 11:29 |
| 2021-22 | ARI | 60 | 10 | 14 | 24 | -8 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 82 | 12.2 | 16:07 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 94 | 13 | 18 | 31 | -7 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 119 | 10.9 | 14:22 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
10 goals and 14 assists in 60 games — 24 points at 16:07 a night, minus-8, with 2 power-play goals on 82 shots and 20 penalty minutes.
Thirty-one points in 94 career games at twenty-two, from a fifth-overall pick. That is the number this club has to look at every morning.
47.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 770 minutes, the 27th percentile — tied with Nick Ritchie for the best figure of any Arizona forward who played half a season. His ice went 30-37 against an expectation of 28.75-32.25.
The with-and-without is the largest on the club. Beside Dysin Mayo he took 34.8 per cent across 446 attempts; away from Mayo, across 919, he took 52.6. Eighteen points of chance share, and only one pairing in this book moves further.
The Finesse Game
5.09 shots per 60 is the 13th percentile among the league’s forwards and 82 attempts in 60 games is a centre who does not shoot. 53 per cent of them came from inside the slot at a median of 21 feet, so the locations are right and the volume is not there.
1.45 even-strength points per 60 is the 29th percentile. He is a centre by trade and Arizona has kept him there through three seasons of it not working, and the production has not followed at any point.
The encouraging half is what is around the puck rather than on it: 1.12 takeaways per 60, and the 83rd percentile in penalties drawn.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 200, and 5.21 hits per 60 is the 63rd percentile with 2.05 blocks at the 67th. He competes, he finishes checks, and he plays 1:28 a night shorthanded at the 72nd percentile.
He drew 1.18 penalties per 60, the 83rd percentile, and finished plus-0.56 on drawn against taken, the 90th — one of the better differentials on the club, and the clearest evidence that he is difficult to play against even while the scoring is not there.
The skating is the worry: 21.7 mph top speed is the 10th percentile among forwards and 9.39 miles per sixty the 28th. For a centre who is not producing, being slow is the hardest of the problems to coach out.
The Intangibles
Fifth overall in 2018, taken ahead of Quinn Hughes and Noah Dobson, and four seasons later the argument for him is a with-and-without-you split.
He turns 23 in June. The honest read is that the underlying number is genuinely the best on the club’s forward group and the production is genuinely the worst of any top-five pick of his year, and one of those two facts is about to stop being interesting. Arizona has one more season of calling him a prospect.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
47.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 41.8% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.3, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
“He is a centre by trade and Arizona has kept him there through three seasons of it not working”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 770 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.1%
- 33rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 47%
- 29th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 37 against. Expected: 28.8 and 32.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 60 games
- Top speed
- 21.7 mph
- 30th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.05 a game
- Distance
- 2.52 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 85.5 mph
- 42nd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 · 770 minutes at five-on-five
- Loui Erikssonoff the roster25%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- ARI took 42.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.1% — 4.3 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 770 minutes at five-on-five — 38th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 44.2% | 48.9% | 42.2% |
| Anton Stralman | 50.4% | 45.4% | 41.5% |
| Dysin Mayo | 34.8% | 52.6% | 39.3% |
44.2% together, 48.9% for him apart and 42.2% for Gostisbehere apart. He was better away from Gostisbehere, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Gostisbehere.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
115 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.