Axel Jonsson-Fjallby
Winnipeg Jets Left Wing
Ten minutes a night, and the fourth percentile of ground covered.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | WSH | 23 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 6.9 | 11:11 |
| 2022-23 | WPG | 50 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 11.1 | 10:27 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 73 | 8 | 10 | 18 | -1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 83 | 9.6 | 10:41 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
6 goals and 8 assists in 50 games — 14 points — at 10:27 a night. Minus-1, 54 shots at 11.1 per cent, two game-winners, 8 penalty minutes.
47.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five across 478 minutes, the 29th percentile — the second-lowest of any forward on this roster — with his ice at 15-17 against an expectation of 16.30-17.81.
He started 43.7 per cent of his shifts in the attacking zone, the 23rd percentile: 94 attacking draws against 121 defensive ones.
Four hundred and seventy-eight minutes is a third of a season and nothing here is settled.
The Finesse Game
54 shots at a median of 28 feet, with 19 per cent of his attempts from inside twenty and 11 per cent from beyond forty.
Inside twenty feet: 14 shots on goal and two goals. From twenty to forty: 30 shots and three goals, 10.00 against a league forward rate of 11.05. Beyond forty: eight shots and one goal. Fifty-two shots on goal is not a sample.
74 tracked attempts in 50 games, 42 of them wrist shots and three slap. 86.3 mph at the 19th percentile — a soft shot.
8 goals in 73 career games at 9.6 per cent.
He arrives at the net at speed and shoots without slowing down, which is what a fourth-line winger with these feet is for and is where the six goals came from.
The Physical Game
6-1 and 189 pounds, with 8 penalty minutes in 50 games.
2.1 bursts above twenty miles an hour a game at the 87th percentile and a top speed of 22.9 mph, the 84th, on 1.70 miles a game — the 4th percentile.
That last figure is ten and a half minutes of ice time rather than an absence of work, and the first two say the work is done at speed.
He forechecks hard and kills penalties, which is the whole job description at this ice time.
He is not physical and does not finish checks at 189 pounds; he arrives, he takes the ice away, and somebody else finishes it.
The Intangibles
A hundred and forty-seventh overall in 2016, the fifth round, two seasons, 73 games, 18 points across Washington and Winnipeg.
Eight goals and ten assists, and a minus-1.
He is twenty-five, a Swedish fifth-round pick who reached the league at twenty-three.
Seventy-three NHL games from a fifth-round pick is already more than most of them get, and the honest projection is a thirteenth forward whose speed keeps him on the roster and whose hands keep him off the scoresheet.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“He forechecks hard and kills penalties, which is the whole job description at this ice time.”
“He is not physical and does not finish checks at 189 pounds; he arrives, he takes the ice away, and somebody else finishes it.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 478 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.8%
- 36th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.7%
- 50th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 17 against. Expected: 16.3 and 17.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 64 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 50 games
- Top speed
- 22.9 mph
- 87th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.14 a game
- Distance
- 1.70 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 86.3 mph
- 44th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 478 minutes at five-on-five
- Saku Maenalanenoff the roster38%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- WPG took 51.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 4.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 478 minutes at five-on-five — 14th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Morrissey | 48.8% | 47.2% | 51.7% |
| Saku Maenalanen | 50.3% | 46.3% | 40.2% |
| Neal Pionk | 51.3% | 45.6% | 48.7% |
48.8% together, 47.2% for him apart and 51.7% for Morrissey apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
72 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.