This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Alexis Lafrenière

45 points a year after 57, and his line was outscored 56-62 at five-on-five on even chances.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2020-21	NYR	56	12	9	21	-7	8	0	0	4	67	17.9	13:53
2021-22	NYR	79	19	12	31	+2	37	0	0	4	110	17.3	13:59
2022-23	NYR	81	16	23	39	+10	33	3	0	2	135	11.8	15:13
2023-24	NYR	82	28	29	57	+2	40	2	0	5	217	12.9	17:16
2024-25	NYR	82	17	28	45	-13	38	2	0	4	153	11.1	17:00
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	380	92	101	193	-6	156	7	0	19	682	13.5	15:35

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

17 goals and 28 assists in all 82 games — 45 points, minus-13, at 17:00 a night with 38 penalty minutes.

49.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 43rd percentile, across 1,179 minutes, and the goals with him on the ice were 56-62 against an expectation of 50.94-52.48. He and Artemi Panarin played most of the year together and both carry a twenty-goal hole that the chances say neither of them dug.

The Finesse Game

The hands are good in traffic and he protects the puck well below the goal line, which is where most of what he produces begins. 33 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet at a median of 28, so the shot selection is right.

17 goals on 153 shots at 11.1 per cent is the problem and it is a year old. He scored 28 the season before on a similar volume from similar places; nothing in the chart changed and the puck stopped going in. That is either a finishing slump or the previous year was one, and the archive cannot yet say which.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 191, and he plays a heavy, honest wing. He goes to the wall, he takes the hit to make the play, and he is willing in front of the net.

38 penalty minutes is an ordinary number. There is no edge and there is no reluctance either — he is neither an agitator nor a man who avoids contact, and at his size the middle is a perfectly good place to be.

The Intangibles

The 1st overall pick in 2020, five seasons, 380 games, and a long contract signed on the strength of the season before this one.

193 career points at 24 is neither the disaster the draft position invites nor the return it promised. The read is a genuine top-six winger whose ceiling is now a question of finishing rather than of ability, and the 31-51 says the club paid for last year twice.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:23 a game at five-on-five, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
sheltered· is started in the attacking end
65% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line
“He goes to the wall, he takes the hit to make the play, and he is willing in front of the net.”
net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips
“He goes to the wall, he takes the hit to make the play, and he is willing in front of the net.”
agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation
“he is neither an agitator nor a man who avoids contact, and at his size the middle is a perfectly good place to be.”
punishingpresent and ordinary· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“There is no edge and there is no reluctance either”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,179 minutes

Expected goals: 49.3%; 47th pct
Shot attempts: 52.7%; 80th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 56 for, 62 against. Expected: 50.9 and 52.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

30th

Numbers

47th

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed: 22.7 mph; 70th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.01 a game
Distance: 2.78 miles a game
Hardest shot: 83.1 mph; 33rd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1179 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: NYR took 47.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.3% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,179 minutes at five-on-five — 82nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Vincent Trocheck	49.9%	47.8%	45.0%
Artemi Panarin	50.6%	46.0%	50.8%
K'Andre Miller	51.0%	48.3%	47.5%

49.9% together, 47.8% for him apart and 45.0% for Trocheck apart. Trocheck was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Trocheck than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

237 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 17 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.