Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

11

Anze Kopitar

Los Angeles Kings Center

67 points at 37 on 98 shots — a 21.4 per cent rate — and 4 penalty minutes across the whole season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2006-07LAK72204161-122472119310.420:32
2007-08LAK82324577-1522122320115.920:41
2008-09LAK82273966-173271323411.520:27
2009-10LAK82344781+616141225913.121:47
2010-11LAK75254873+252061623310.721:35
2011-12LAK82255176+122082223010.921:20
2012-13LAK47103242+14160019810.220:29
2013-14LAK82294170+3424100920014.520:53
2014-15LAK79164864-21060413411.919:23
2015-16LAK81254974+341651817714.120:52
2016-17LAK76124052-10285001508.020:46
2017-18LAK82355792+212070620017.522:05
2018-19LAK81223860-203012315614.122:18
2019-20LAK70214162+61671513515.621:02
2020-21LAK56133750-71030411811.021:11
2021-22LAK81194867-6146042109.020:46
2022-23LAK82284674+20470416916.620:18
2023-24LAK81264470+112291613319.619:39
2024-25LAK81214667+1444079821.418:57
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—14544408381278+1083481241478332813.220:47

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

21 goals and 46 assists in 81 games for 67 points, plus-14, on 18:57 a night with 7 game-winners — and 4 penalty minutes across the entire season.

21.4 per cent shooting on 98 shots, which is the highest rate of any player in this edition and comes on the lowest volume of any 20-goal scorer in it. 50.3 per cent at five-on-five, the 55th percentile, in the hardest matchup minutes on the club.

The Finesse Game

The hockey sense has not declined at all and it is what the whole late career runs on. He is a beat ahead of everybody, he protects the puck below the goal line with a stick and a body that nobody can get past, and 46 assists at 37 is a real total.

98 shots in 81 games is remarkably few, and 48 per cent of them come from inside 20 feet. He shoots only when the better option is gone, which is why the conversion rate is what it is and why nobody should expect 21 goals again.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 225, and he uses it entirely for possession. He wins the wall, holds pucks with his back to pressure, and takes the defensive-zone draws against the best centres in the league.

4 penalty minutes in 81 games is the most extraordinary number in this edition. At 37, playing the hardest minutes on a club that concedes fewer chances than anybody, he was penalised twice.

The Intangibles

Twenty seasons, one organisation, two Cups, two Selkes, and a career that has been quietly among the ten best of its era.

At 38 the projection is a decline in the goals and none at all in the rest. The club has now been eliminated in the first round in four consecutive years and there is no version of the next one that does not depend on him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.05 penalty minutes a game over 81, 0th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He shoots only when the better option is gone, which is why the conversion rate is what it is and why nobody should expect 21 goals again.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He wins the wall, holds pucks with his back to pressure, and takes the defensive-zone draws against the best centres in the league.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “takes the defensive-zone draws against the best centres in the league”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “At 37, playing the hardest minutes on a club that concedes fewer chances than anybody, he was penalised twice.”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “**4 penalty minutes in 81 games** is the most extraordinary number in this edition.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,123 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
56th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.3%
67th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 53 for, 38 against. Expected: 43.5 and 43.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
96th
Numbers
56th

The report ranks him 40 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 83 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed
21.5 mph
19th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.74 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.20 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.4 mph
54th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1123 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
LAK took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 3.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,123 minutes at five-on-five — 78th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Adrian Kempe51.1%45.4%48.0%
Vladislav Gavrikov46.7%52.7%59.5%
Mikey Anderson48.9%51.1%58.2%

51.1% together, 45.4% for him apart and 48.0% for Kempe apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

146 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.