Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

15

Alex Turcotte

Los Angeles Kings Center

25 points in 68 games at 24, and 53 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22LAK800002000130.011:16
2022-23LAK4000-2500020.06:59
2023-24LAK20134+56000147.19:17
2024-25LAK6891625+6201027911.411:44
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—100101929+9331021089.311:01

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 16 assists in 68 games for 25 points, plus-6, on 11:44 a night — his first full NHL season at 24.

55.2 per cent at five-on-five, the 91st percentile, over 733 minutes. 53 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 18, which is a fourth-line centre being deployed the way this club deploys everybody.

The Finesse Game

Limited but correctly directed. 79 shots in 68 games and 9 goals at 11.4 per cent; the hands are functional and the release is ordinary.

16 assists is a fair total. He does not create and does not need to; the value is in winning pucks and taking draws.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 195, and he plays a hard, honest game. He forechecks, wins pucks below the goal line, and is willing in traffic for his size.

20 penalty minutes over 68 games. The body is the story of his career — he lost most of three seasons to injury and illness before finally getting a full one.

The Intangibles

The 5th overall pick in 2019, five years of injuries and American League hockey, and a first real NHL season at 24.

The projection now is a fourth-line centre who kills penalties, which is a long way from the draft position and a genuine career. Getting here at all, after what the body took, is the more interesting story.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He does not create and does not need to; the value is in winning pucks and taking draws.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He does not create and does not need to; the value is in winning pucks and taking draws.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks, wins pucks below the goal line, and is willing in traffic for his size.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks, wins pucks below the goal line, and is willing in traffic for his size.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “The projection now is a fourth-line centre who kills penalties, which is a long way from the draft position and a genuine career.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 733 minutes

Expected goals
55.2%
91st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.2%
84th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 25 against. Expected: 29.9 and 24.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
91st

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 68 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
64th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.81 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.96 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
76.9 mph
12th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 733 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
LAK took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.2% — 1.2 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 733 minutes at five-on-five — 31st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Anze Kopitar51.6%58.9%49.7%
Adrian Kempe50.9%59.7%50.6%
Joel Edmundson49.5%58.4%49.3%

51.6% together, 58.9% for him apart and 49.7% for Kopitar apart. He was better away from Kopitar, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Kopitar.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

119 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 10% from beyond forty.