Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

15

Alex Turcotte

Los Angeles Kings Center

25 points in 68 games at 24, and 53 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22LAK800002000130.011:16
2022-23LAK4000-2500020.06:59
2023-24LAK20134+56000147.19:17
2024-25LAK6891625+6201027911.411:44
2025-26 so far
Career100101929+9331021089.311:01

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

9 goals and 16 assists in 68 games for 25 points, plus-6, on 11:44 a night — his first full NHL season at 24.

54 per cent at five-on-five, the 86th percentile, over 733 minutes. 53 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet at a median of 18, which is a fourth-line centre being deployed the way this club deploys everybody.

The Finesse Game

Limited but correctly directed. 79 shots in 68 games and 9 goals at 11.4 per cent; the hands are functional and the release is ordinary.

16 assists is a fair total. He does not create and does not need to; the value is in winning pucks and taking draws.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 195, and he plays a hard, honest game. He forechecks, wins pucks below the goal line, and is willing in traffic for his size.

20 penalty minutes over 68 games. The body is the story of his career — he lost most of three seasons to injury and illness before finally getting a full one.

The Intangibles

The 5th overall pick in 2019, five years of injuries and American League hockey, and a first real NHL season at 24.

The projection now is a fourth-line centre who kills penalties, which is a long way from the draft position and a genuine career. Getting here at all, after what the body took, is the more interesting story.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 733 minutes

Expected goals
54%
87th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53%
83rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 21 against. Expected: 28.6 and 24.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
71st
Numbers
87th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 733 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
LAK took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.0% — level with the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 733 minutes at five-on-five — 31st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Anze Kopitar49.8%58.2%49.4%
Adrian Kempe48.7%59.2%49.6%
Joel Edmundson49.7%56.2%50.8%

49.8% together, 58.2% for him apart and 49.4% for Kopitar apart. He was better away from Kopitar, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Kopitar.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

119 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 9 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 55% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 10% from beyond forty.