Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

95

Vinni Lettieri

Boston Bruins Center

Five goals in 31 games at twenty-seven, on the fourth NHL stop of an undrafted career.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18NYR19145-120000283.612:03
2018-19NYR27123-714100402.510:09
2020-21ANA5000-3000070.012:43
2021-22ANA315510-862005010.012:31
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—8271118-30203001255.611:38

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

With Anaheim. 5 goals and 5 assists in 31 games — 10 points at 12:31 a night, minus-8, with 2 power-play goals on 50 shots and 6 penalty minutes.

46.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 341 minutes, on a club that finished 23rd. His ice went 8-13 against an expectation of 13.52-15.4 — five and a half goals of scoring that the chances said should have arrived and did not.

Thirty-one games at twelve minutes is a recall rather than a season.

The Finesse Game

50 attempts in 31 games is a real rate, at a median of 30 feet with 35 per cent from inside 20, converting at 10 per cent. Five goals in 31 games is a better return than most thirteenth forwards manage, and 18 points in 82 career games is the whole NHL record.

The shot leaves at 94.8 mph, which is genuinely hard for a 5-10 winger, and 2 of the 5 goals came on the power play.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 184, 6 penalty minutes in 31 games. There is no physical dimension and there does not need to be at the edge of a roster.

The tracking gives a 22.4 mph top speed and 1.3 bursts above 20 mph a game. Quick enough; nothing exceptional.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Minnesota, and 82 NHL games across the Rangers, Anaheim and now Boston — the son and nephew of professional players, and a Hobey Baker finalist’s career that has never quite converted.

He is 27, signed as depth. On a club whose top six is settled and whose fourth line is under review, an undrafted winger who scores at a fourth-line rate when recalled is exactly the sort of insurance that never makes a headline and occasionally plays forty games.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    64% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted out of Minnesota, and 82 NHL games across the Rangers, Anaheim and now Boston”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 341 minutes

Expected goals
46.8%
29th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.2%
31st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 8 for, 13 against. Expected: 13.5 and 15.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
29th

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 53 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 31 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
65th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.32 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.11 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.8 mph
89th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with ANA · 341 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
ANA took 48.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 1.2 below the club he did it on.
The role
341 minutes at five-on-five — 10th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sam Steel46.1%47.4%44.6%
Kevin Shattenkirk40.4%51.0%47.3%
Max Comtois44.3%48.0%48.0%

46.1% together, 47.4% for him apart and 44.6% for Steel apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

68 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.