Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

49

Ty Emberson

Edmonton Oilers Defense

76 games at 25 on a third pair, and a defenceman acquired for a first-round pick's worth of cap space.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24SJS301910-46000313.218:33
2024-25EDM7621113-518001623.215:07
2025-26 so far
Career10632023-924001933.216:05

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 11 assists in 76 games for 13 points, minus-5, on 15:07 a night.

49.8 per cent at five-on-five, the 51st percentile — the second-worst share among Edmonton defencemen, which on this club still puts him at the league median. 62 shots with 84 per cent from beyond 40 feet and 2 per cent from inside 20.

The Finesse Game

Very little and none required. The first pass is simple and safe and it does not go wrong often, and 13 points in 76 games is a defensive defenceman’s total.

There is no offensive projection at all.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 193, and honest. He defends his net front adequately, takes contact, and blocks shots.

18 penalty minutes over 76 games is disciplined and it is the most encouraging line in his record.

The Intangibles

A third-round pick, three organisations, and a first full NHL season at 24 on a Cup finalist.

The projection is a third-pair right shot who plays 70 games. On a club with this much money committed at the top of the roster, a cheap defenceman who does not lose games is exactly what is needed.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 933 minutes

Expected goals
49.8%
52nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.4%
45th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 42 against. Expected: 36.6 and 36.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
26th
Numbers
52nd

The numbers rank him 26 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 933 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
EDM took 54.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.8% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 933 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brett Kulak51.1%48.0%56.6%
Mattias Janmark42.1%53.4%53.5%
Adam Henrique46.7%51.4%48.7%

51.1% together, 48.0% for him apart and 56.6% for Kulak apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Kulak and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

91 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 57 feet. 2% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 84% from beyond forty.