Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

71

Taylor Hall

Carolina Hurricanes Left Wing

42 points at 33, a minus-14, and the only forward on this roster whose chance share was below the league median.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11EDM65222042-92780418611.818:13
2011-12EDM61272653-336130720713.018:13
2012-13EDM45163450+53340415410.418:37
2013-14EDM75275380-154470125010.820:01
2014-15EDM53142438-1403001588.919:13
2015-16EDM82263965-4544062869.119:12
2016-17NJD72203353-9327042388.419:20
2017-18NJD76395493+1434131727814.019:09
2018-19NJD33112637-6161031139.719:41
2019-20NJD/ARI65163652-14344012326.919:10
2020-21BUF/BOS53102333-6262011367.317:52
2021-22BOS81204161+11427032179.216:25
2022-23BOS61162036+112440515010.715:56
2023-24CHI10224-340012010.016:20
2024-25CHI/CAR77182442-143650314412.515:10
2025-26 so far
Career909284455739-4348282150276910.318:12

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

18 goals and 24 assists in 77 games for 42 points, minus-14 — the worst rating on the club — on 15:10 a night.

49.4 per cent at five-on-five, the 44th percentile, on a team whose next-lowest forward was at 53.2 and whose median was 56. On a club that led the league in chance share by four points, being at 49.4 is the most damning number available.

The Finesse Game

The skating is still genuinely good and it is what remains of the player who won a Hart. He carries the puck into the zone with speed and he can still beat a defenceman wide.

12.5 per cent shooting is fair and 30 per cent of his attempts come from inside 20 feet. What has gone is the ability to make anything happen when the first option is covered — 24 assists in 77 games on this club, where everybody’s assists are inflated by possession, is thin.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 210, and he does not play to it. He avoids the wall, does not forecheck heavily, and gives up possession rather than absorbing contact to keep it.

36 penalty minutes. The body has cost him enormously across his career — two seasons largely lost to knee injuries — and 77 games was his healthiest in four years.

The Intangibles

A 1st overall pick, a Hart trophy, and a career spent on clubs that did not work. This is the first genuinely good team he has played a full season for and he was its weakest regular forward.

At 33 that is close to the answer. He is a useful third-line winger on a cheap deal, and the club should not be asking him for more.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 982 minutes

Expected goals
49.4%
45th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.2%
67th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 43 against. Expected: 41.4 and 42.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
45th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 315 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with CHI · 619 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CAR took 55.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.4% — 6.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
982 minutes at five-on-five — 58th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Tyler Bertuzzi47.6%50.1%39.3%
Jesperi Kotkaniemi55.1%47.4%55.3%
Alex Vlasic44.6%50.5%41.5%

47.6% together, 50.1% for him apart and 39.3% for Bertuzzi apart. Bertuzzi was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Bertuzzi than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

203 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.