Photo by Pens Through My Lens, CC BY-SA 4.0

Stefan Noesen

A median shot from 13 feet, and 38 games to take it.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2014-15	ANA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	6:54
2015-16	ANA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	10:02
2016-17	ANA/NJD	44	8	2	10	+6	24	0	0	0	63	12.7	11:07
2017-18	NJD	72	13	14	27	+12	36	0	0	4	127	10.2	13:17
2018-19	NJD	41	3	5	8	-19	28	0	0	0	64	4.7	12:44
2019-20	PIT/SJS	40	7	2	9	-1	32	1	0	2	67	10.4	11:32
2020-21	SJS/TOR	6	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	0.0	9:37
2021-22	CAR	2	0	0	0	+1	0	0	0	0	4	0.0	14:20
2022-23	CAR	78	13	23	36	+11	32	7	0	4	134	9.7	12:20
2023-24	CAR	81	14	23	37	+13	33	3	0	3	111	12.6	11:52
2024-25	NJD	78	22	19	41	-8	54	11	0	5	165	13.3	15:56
2025-26	NJD	38	3	4	7	-12	33	1	0	1	52	5.8	11:45
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	482	83	92	175	+3	274	23	0	19	792	10.5	12:45

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

3 goals and 4 assists in 38 games — 7 points, minus-12, at 11:45 a night with 33 penalty minutes. 44 games missed.

The Finesse Game

The shot chart is the reason to read this page. 63 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet, with a median of 13 — the sixth-closest of any forward in the league with 50 or more attempts, level with Mark Stone, Matthew Tkachuk and Tyler Bertuzzi.

He goes to the one place on the ice where a 33-year-old fourth-liner can still hurt you, and he stays there.

3 goals from 70 tries is a poor return from excellent ice, and 83 goals in 482 career games is the honest rate. The location is real; the hands are ordinary.

The Physical Game

6-1, 205, and thick through the base. 33 penalty minutes in 38 games is a high rate and it is the job — he screens, he cross-checks back, and he absorbs what comes for standing there.

The skating is the ceiling and always has been.

The Intangibles

45.9 per cent of the expected goals, 21st percentile, and the same in shot attempts, across 394 minutes. Those are weak numbers in a small sample.

3 points in his last 10, 2 of them goals.

He is 33, a 21st overall pick who took 8 seasons to find what he was for, and what he is for is the front of the net on a power play. On a club that finished last in the league at converting its chances, somebody standing 13 feet from the goaltender is not the worst idea available.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
70.0% of his attempts in the slot, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 394 minutes

Expected goals: 45.9%; 21st pct
Shot attempts: 46.2%; 21st pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 6 for, 15 against. Expected: 12.1 and 14.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

44th

Numbers

21st

The report ranks him 23 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 38 games

Top speed: 21.5 mph; 21st pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.21 a game
Distance: 1.90 miles a game
Hardest shot: 80.0 mph; 20th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 1 assists, 18 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 394 minutes at five-on-five

Luke Glendeningoff the roster44%
Paul Cotternow VAN39%
Juho Lammikkooff the roster26%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: NJD took 50.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.9% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
The role: Fourth line, 394 minutes at five-on-five — 12th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Luke Glendening	42.1%	48.2%	42.9%
Luke Hughes	44.1%	47.1%	51.4%
Jonas Siegenthaler	52.2%	42.5%	48.9%

42.1% together, 48.2% for him apart and 42.9% for Glendening apart. He was better away from Glendening, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Glendening.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

70 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 63% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.