Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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85

Shakir Mukhamadullin

San Jose Sharks Defense

Six-foot-four, a first-round pick acquired in the Timo Meier trade, and 18 minutes a night in a 30-game debut.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24SJS30110400050.021:09
2024-25SJS30279-78000306.718:04
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—332810-712000355.718:21

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 7 assists in 30 games — 9 points at 18:04 a night, minus-7, on 8 penalty minutes.

45.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 21st percentile, across 485 minutes. His ice went 13-20 against an expectation of 14.98-18.21, which on that sample is close to what the chances predicted.

The Finesse Game

30 attempts in 30 games at a median of 52 feet with 69 per cent from beyond 40 and 12 per cent from inside 20 — a higher share from close range than any other defenceman on this roster, which says he joins the rush.

7 assists in 30 games is a genuinely promising rate. He carries the puck out of his own zone, he is comfortable under pressure, and the first pass is ambitious in a way that will occasionally cost him.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 200 and still filling out. He has the reach to defend the rush without contact and he is not yet strong enough to move a grown forward off the front of his own net.

8 penalty minutes in 30 games is a very low rate. He is not beaten badly enough to foul often, and the physicality is a projection rather than a fact.

The Intangibles

Twentieth overall in 2020 by New Jersey, and acquired by San Jose in the 2023 trade that sent Timo Meier the other way — the most important asset in it.

33 NHL games after two full American League seasons. He is 23, and on a blue line whose best player is a 5-11 shot-blocker, he is the only defenceman here with a top-four ceiling.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He carries the puck out of his own zone, he is comfortable under pressure, and the first pass is ambitious in a way that will occasionally cost him.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He has the reach to defend the rush without contact and he is not yet strong enough to move a grown forward off the front of his own net.”

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He has the reach to defend the rush without contact and he is not yet strong enough to move a grown forward off the front of his own net.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “He is not beaten badly enough to foul often, and the physicality is a projection rather than a fact.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 485 minutes

Expected goals
45.1%
17th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.8%
32nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 20 against. Expected: 15.0 and 18.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
17th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 30 games

Top speed
21.4 mph
39th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.43 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.61 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.1 mph
29th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 485 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SJS took 44.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.1% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
485 minutes at five-on-five — 15th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mario Ferraro49.2%40.6%46.0%
Alexander Wennberg52.2%42.5%43.3%
Will Smith49.2%43.3%44.8%

49.2% together, 40.6% for him apart and 46.0% for Ferraro apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

52 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 66 feet. 12% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 69% from beyond forty.