Photo by Pwinger, CC BY-SA 4.0
Leo Carlsson
Anaheim Ducks Center #91
The centre the rebuild was for, and last season he started looking like it.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | ANA | 55 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 11.0 | 18:07 |
| 2024-25 | ANA | 76 | 20 | 25 | 45 | +6 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 114 | 17.5 | 16:14 |
| 2025-26 | ANA | 70 | 29 | 38 | 67 | +4 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 193 | 15.0 | 19:09 |
| 2026-27 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 201 | 61 | 80 | 141 | -1 | 63 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 416 | 14.7 | 17:46 |
This Season So Far
The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
29 goals and 38 assists in 70 games, plus-4 on a club that was outscored by 31. 19 minutes a night at 21 years old, and the best 5-on-5 numbers of any forward here: 54.3 per cent of the expected goals while he was on the ice, which is 85th percentile in the league.
The Finesse Game
6-3 and he handles the puck like a smaller man, which is the whole trick. He protects it below the dots with his back to pressure and waits — not because he is slow to decide, but because he has learned that a defenceman who has committed cannot uncommit.
The shot is heavier than the goal total suggests and it comes from the right places: the median attempt is 25 feet out, and 39 per cent of them are inside 20. He is not a perimeter player. He gets to the middle and shoots from there, which is why 29 goals arrived on fewer than 200 shots.
The passing is the part that will decide how high this goes. He already makes the delayed feed to the far post that most centres do not see until their late twenties.
The Physical Game
He is 208 pounds and does not play like it yet. He wins pucks by being hard to knock off balance rather than by hitting anybody, and there are shifts where a heavy defence pair simply outmuscles his line.
The skating is good, not explosive. He arrives, he does not burst.
The Intangibles
Taken 2nd overall in 2023 and brought along carefully, and the club now has its answer. 201 games in, he has 141 points and the on-ice results to match — the goals went 49-45 in his favour at even strength on a team that lost that battle badly overall.
What is not yet settled is whether he is a first-line centre on a good team or the best player on a mediocre one. The numbers cannot separate those 2 things yet. Another season at this rate and they will.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
54.3% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 49.3% for his club in the minutes he sat: +5.0, 91st percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
64% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 973 minutes
- Expected goals
- 54.3%
- 84th pct
- Shot attempts
- 56.2%
- 94th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 45 against. Expected: 50.3 and 42.4.
The eye and the numbers
SightedThe two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.
Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 70 games
- Top speed
- 22.5 mph
- 62nd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.81 a game
- Distance
- 3.44 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 85.5 mph
- 54th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.6
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Recent form
Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first
6
points in his last 10 games — 5 goals, 1 assists, 39 shots
Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.
Usual linemates
2025-26 · 973 minutes at five-on-five
- Troy Terry53%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2025-26
- The club
- ANA took 50.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.3% — 3.7 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Second line, 973 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kreider | 55.4% | 52.4% | 50.4% |
| Troy Terry | 56.7% | 51.6% | 49.9% |
| Jackson LaCombe | 56.6% | 52.8% | 50.2% |
55.4% together, 52.4% for him apart and 50.4% for Kreider apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
281 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 31 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.