Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Ryan Hartman

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Ryan Hartman

Minnesota Wild Right Wing #38

A genuinely useful top-6 winger and one of the more disliked opponents in the league, which is roughly how he wants it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15CHI5000-1200080.08:17
2015-16CHI3011-1000030.09:14
2016-17CHI76191231+137010417011.212:46
2017-18CHI/NSH78112031+1721021298.513:04
2018-19NSH/PHI83121426+1740021458.313:07
2019-20MIN6991120+4691011147.912:15
2020-21MIN5171522033012749.515:04
2021-22MIN82343165+319510723914.218:11
2022-23MIN59152237+79012614910.116:18
2023-24MIN74212445+47250317312.116:31
2024-25MIN69111526-7753011587.014:58
2025-26MIN76232043-14860416713.816:45
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—725162185347+5170019332152910.614:49

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 goals and 43 points in 76 games, 6 on the power play, on 16 and a half minutes a night. He played 40 percent of his 5-on-5 time with Kaprizov, which is the job: get him the puck and make life unpleasant for whoever is trying to take it back.

The Finesse Game

More skill than the reputation suggests. He finishes around the net, he has a quick shot from the slot, and he has scored at a 20-goal rate for several seasons now — playing beside a star helps, and it does not do the finishing for him.

He is not a creator. The passing is functional, he does not carry the puck through traffic, and if the line’s offence has to start with him it usually does not start.

The skating is ordinary. He gets to the right places by anticipating rather than by beating anyone there.

The Physical Game

Constant, and occasionally over the line. He finishes every check, agitates after whistles, and has a long history of supplementary discipline to go with it. 48 penalty minutes understates how much of his game happens in the scrums.

The value is real: opponents lose composure around him. The cost is real too, and has occasionally been games.

The Intangibles

He is 31, on his fourth organisation, and has found a role that fits him better than any of the others did. Coaches like him more than opposing fans do, which is the usual arrangement for this type.

The read is that he is a good complementary winger whose production is tied to the man he plays with, and whose edge is worth keeping as long as it stays on the right side of costing games.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:44 a game at five-on-five, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,120 minutes

Expected goals
53.2%
78th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.3%
61st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 44 for, 44 against. Expected: 53.6 and 47.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
78th
Blind
61st

The two rank him within 11 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 17 points from the numbers; this one lands 11. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 76 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
56th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.58 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.52 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.4 mph
66th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

12

points in his last 10 games — 7 goals, 5 assists, 27 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1120 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
MIN took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.2% — 2.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,120 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Kirill Kaprizov56.4%50.0%51.3%
Mats Zuccarello56.0%50.8%51.5%
Brock Faber54.3%52.4%51.3%

56.4% together, 50.0% for him apart and 51.3% for Kaprizov apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

269 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.