Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

67

Rickard Rakell

Pittsburgh Penguins Right Wing

35 goals at a 17.2 per cent conversion and half his attempts from inside 20 feet, on ice for 30 goals against an expectation of 53.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13ANA4000-2000030.08:57
2013-14ANA18044-32000220.011:43
2014-15ANA7192231+6102011058.612:34
2015-16ANA72202343-11940716911.816:04
2016-17ANA71331851+1012501017718.617:23
2017-18ANA77343569+61480323014.819:25
2018-19ANA69182543-13276021949.318:28
2019-20ANA65152742-5123021868.118:10
2020-21ANA5291928-14120011446.317:50
2021-22ANA/PIT7020214101250218410.917:59
2022-23PIT82283260-516110224311.518:26
2023-24PIT70152237+4224021659.116:31
2024-25PIT81353570-221490120317.219:18
2025-26 so far
Career802236283519-3917257033202511.717:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 goals and 35 assists in 81 games — 70 points, a career high, at 19:18 a night, with 9 power-play goals on 203 shots. Minus-22.

51.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 67th percentile. His ice went 30-48 against an expectation of 53.03-49.96 — twenty-three goals of scoring missing, on a line whose chances were comfortably above the club average.

The Finesse Game

203 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 49 per cent from inside 20, converting at 17.2 per cent. That is a shot profile almost nobody sustains and he sustained it for a full season at 32.

35 assists says the passing is genuine and it has always been the second thing about him. He arrives in the slot without the puck and he is very difficult to account for on a line with a centre who draws two men.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 194 and light for a player who takes half his shots from the paint. He goes to the net and absorbs what comes with it rather than initiating anything.

14 penalty minutes in 81 games is among the lowest rates of any regular in this edition. He does not forecheck with force and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Thirtieth overall in 2011 by Anaheim and traded here in 2022, and 802 games and 519 points into a career that has had two 30-goal seasons a decade apart.

He is 32 and the contract runs long. On a club that finished 29th in goals against, a 35-goal winger who is also a minus-22 is the whole problem in one line.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,223 minutes

Expected goals
51.5%
67th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.8%
81st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 48 against. Expected: 53.0 and 50.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
67th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1223 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PIT took 49.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.5% — 2.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,223 minutes at five-on-five — 87th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Sidney Crosby52.9%46.8%47.3%
Bryan Rust51.7%51.3%43.5%
Erik Karlsson52.3%50.8%45.7%

52.9% together, 46.8% for him apart and 47.3% for Crosby apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

319 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 37 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.