Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

51

Radim Simek

San Jose Sharks Defense

Thirteen more goals against than the model asked in thirty-six games, undrafted at 30.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19SJS41189+78001412.415:13
2019-20SJS48279-1314000405.017:11
2020-21SJS40246-915000267.714:13
2021-22SJS36112-138000254.013:17
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—16562026-28450011324.515:07

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

36 games, 1 goal and 1 assist at 13:17 a night, minus-13, eight penalty minutes, 25 shots. Undrafted, and 165 NHL games across four seasons out of it, all of them for one club.

Thirty-six games is short of the forty this book requires before it will place a man in the league distribution, so what follows is described rather than ranked.

The Finesse Game

Two points in thirty-six games, off twenty-five shots from a 48-foot median with fifteen per cent from inside twenty feet.

48.4 per cent of the expected goals across 465 five-on-five minutes, out of 46.4 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 218th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts.

Those two together are unremarkable and the goals are not. His ice went 10-23 against an expectation of 15.41-16.43. Five and a half goals short in front and six and a half more against than the model asked, in thirty-six games — which is a rate of deviation nothing else on this blue line comes close to.

Half a season is not enough to say whether that is him, and the club’s goaltending rated 20th, so it is not obviously the crease either.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 204 pounds, eight penalty minutes in thirty-six games and forty-five across a 165-game career. He does not take penalties and he does not draw them.

The Intangibles

22.4 mph top speed and 0.6 bursts a game, both drawn from thirty-six games and neither comparable to a full season.

1.93 miles a game is the 10th percentile of the 568 skaters the tracking covers with forty games, which at 13:17 a night is largely the shift length.

His shot is 91.7 mph, the 51st percentile — the only measurement here a half-season does not distort.

He is 30, undrafted, and has never played more than fifty-four games in a season. A career minus-28 across four years and 165 games is the shape of a sixth defenceman on bad clubs. The record establishes that he is an NHL player and it does not establish anything past that.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, and 165 NHL games across four seasons out of it, all of them for one club.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 465 minutes

Expected goals
48.4%
42nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.6%
18th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 23 against. Expected: 15.4 and 16.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
33rd
Numbers
42nd

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 57 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 36 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
80th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.61 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.93 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.7 mph
46th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.4

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 465 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
SJS took 47.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.4% — 1.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 465 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Marc-Edouard Vlasic51.6%43.3%42.5%
Timo Meier59.9%43.0%53.8%
Tomas Hertl58.1%44.3%47.8%

51.6% together, 43.3% for him apart and 42.5% for Vlasic apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

33 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 61 feet. 15% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.