Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Nils Hoglander

Vancouver Canucks Left Wing

Five-foot-nine, 43 per cent of his attempts from inside 20 feet, and eight goals in a season that followed 24.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21VAN56131427-41610111811.015:27
2021-22VAN6010818-6241001327.613:05
2022-23VAN25369-460002910.312:03
2023-24VAN80241236+235100512020.012:06
2024-25VAN7281725+530002839.612:08
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—2935857115+1412720848212.012:57

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 17 assists in 72 games — 25 points at 12:08 a night, plus-5, with 30 penalty minutes on 83 shots.

52.5 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 69th percentile, across 770 minutes. His ice went 36-25 against an expectation of 28.08-25.40, which is a fourth line that got what it deserved on both sides.

The Finesse Game

83 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 43 per cent from inside 20, converting at 9.6 per cent. He scored 24 goals two seasons ago on a similar volume, so the finishing swings hard.

17 assists in 72 games. The hands in a small space are genuinely good and the offensive game has never held at a top-nine level for a full season.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 185 and he plays a great deal larger. He forechecks first, he finishes checks on defencemen who outweigh him considerably, and he is difficult to remove from a puck.

30 penalty minutes in 72 games at twelve minutes a night is a moderate rate. He is an irritant and a share of the total is the second penalty in a sequence he started.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2019 out of Sweden and 293 games and 115 points, all of it here.

He is 24 and has scored 24, 24 and 8 goals in three seasons of wildly varying deployment. On a club that is 30th in the league at creating chances, twelve minutes a night for a player with those hands is difficult to defend.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He scored 24 goals two seasons ago on a similar volume, so the finishing swings hard.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks on defencemen who outweigh him considerably, and he is difficult to remove from a puck.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks on defencemen who outweigh him considerably, and he is difficult to remove from a puck.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks on defencemen who outweigh him considerably, and he is difficult to remove from a puck.”

  • agitatora strength· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He is an irritant and a share of the total is the second penalty in a sequence he started.”

  • retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He is an irritant and a share of the total is the second penalty in a sequence he started.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 770 minutes

Expected goals
52.5%
74th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50%
52nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 36 for, 25 against. Expected: 28.1 and 25.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
74th

The two rank him within 14 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 72 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
48th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.22 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.99 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
84.0 mph
39th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 770 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
VAN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.5% — 3.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
770 minutes at five-on-five — 34th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Quinn Hughes52.6%52.5%54.6%
Tyler Myers48.3%54.3%50.6%
Teddy Blueger47.3%54.4%44.6%

52.6% together, 52.5% for him apart and 54.6% for Hughes apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

113 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.