Justin Holl

Eight points in 73 games in Detroit, and a right-shot seventh defenceman signed in the summer.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2017-18	TOR	2	2	0	2	+5	0	0	0	1	2	100.0	17:22
2018-19	TOR	11	0	1	1	-5	2	0	0	0	6	0.0	12:29
2019-20	TOR	68	2	16	18	+13	43	0	0	0	89	2.3	18:31
2020-21	TOR	55	2	18	20	+16	25	0	0	1	57	3.5	21:04
2021-22	TOR	69	3	20	23	+14	41	0	1	1	64	4.7	20:12
2022-23	TOR	80	2	16	18	+15	39	0	0	1	60	3.3	20:14
2023-24	DET	38	0	5	5	+8	22	0	0	0	14	0.0	15:05
2024-25	DET	73	2	6	8	-7	16	0	0	0	41	4.9	14:48
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	396	13	82	95	+59	188	0	1	4	333	3.9	18:19

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 6 assists in 73 games for Detroit — 8 points at 14:48 a night, minus-7, with 16 penalty minutes.

Eight points in 73 games is the least productive full season of his career, and he was a healthy scratch for stretches of it on a club that missed the playoffs by five points.

The Finesse Game

41 attempts and 2 goals in 73 games. There is nothing here: 95 points in 396 career NHL games.

The first pass is functional and he does not hold the puck. Under a forecheck he goes off the wall, which is the correct choice and it is the only one he has.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 194 and light for the height. He defends with his reach rather than with force and he does not clear the front of his own net.

16 penalty minutes in 73 games is a low rate. He is not beaten badly enough to foul often and he is not physical when he is.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick of Chicago in 2010 who did not play a full NHL season until he was 26, after five years in the minor leagues and a season in the ECHL.

396 games and a career plus-59. He is 33 and St. Louis signed him in the summer as a right-shot seventh defenceman, which is exactly what he is.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens
“He defends with his reach rather than with force and he does not clear the front of his own net.”
clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net
“He defends with his reach rather than with force and he does not clear the front of his own net.”
fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step
“He is not beaten badly enough to foul often and he is not physical when he is.”
transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control
“Under a forecheck he goes off the wall, which is the correct choice and it is the only one he has.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 948 minutes

Expected goals: 51.6%; 68th pct
Shot attempts: 51.1%; 65th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 38 against. Expected: 36.9 and 34.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

7th

Numbers

68th

The numbers rank him 61 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 62 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 73 games

Top speed: 21.1 mph; 27th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.12 a game
Distance: 2.14 miles a game
Hardest shot: 86.5 mph; 26th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with DET · 948 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: DET took 48.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.6% — 3.4 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third pair, 948 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Erik Gustafsson	52.5%	50.2%	47.1%
Alex DeBrincat	53.9%	50.6%	50.2%
Patrick Kane	53.3%	50.9%	46.5%

52.5% together, 50.2% for him apart and 47.1% for Gustafsson apart. Gustafsson was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Gustafsson than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

77 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 67 feet. 5% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.