This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →
Nicolas Aube-Kubel
Toronto Maple Leafs Right Wing
The 96th-percentile sprint count and ground covered, off one of the six smallest workloads in the league.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-19 | PHI | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 5:35 |
| 2019-20 | PHI | 36 | 7 | 8 | 15 | +1 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 14.6 | 11:17 |
| 2020-21 | PHI | 50 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 5.7 | 11:10 |
| 2021-22 | PHI/COL | 74 | 11 | 12 | 23 | +11 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 87 | 12.6 | 9:49 |
| 2022-23 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 169 | 21 | 29 | 50 | +10 | 110 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 190 | 11.1 | 10:18 |
This Season So Far
The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
74 games between Philadelphia and Colorado, 11 goals and 12 assists at 9:49 a night, plus-11, forty-seven penalty minutes, 87 shots. None of the eleven came on the power play. Forty-eighth overall in 2014 by Philadelphia — the second round — four seasons, 169 games, 50 points.
The Finesse Game
Nine minutes and forty-nine seconds a night is the 1st percentile among the 393 forwards who played forty games — one of the six smallest regular shifts in the league — and eleven goals came out of it.
7.19 shots per 60 is the 49th percentile at 12.6 per cent, from a 29-foot median at the 84th percentile with forty-two per cent of his attempts from the slot at the 17th.
1.91 even-strength points per 60 is the 58th percentile off that shift, which is the useful number.
47.9 per cent of the expected goals is the 33rd percentile, out of 38.3 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 65th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. A hard chair and a losing share out of it.
The Physical Game
11.56 hits per 60 is the 92nd percentile among forwards and 13.4 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 96th, off a 9:49 shift.
1.82 penalties taken per 60 is the 96th percentile among forwards against 0.74 drawn, and forty-seven penalty minutes came out of seventy-four games.
On a club whose power play was 2nd in the league per minute, giving the other side that many is more expensive than usual.
The Intangibles
10.42 miles per 60 is the 96th percentile and a 23.2 mph top speed the 88th.
All three skating measurements are in the top eighth of the league. A fourth-line forward who is genuinely fast, covers more ground per minute than nine in ten forwards, and hits at the 92nd percentile is a real thing — and he does it in under ten minutes a night.
His shot is 95.7 mph, the 88th percentile.
He is 26, a second-round pick, with fifty points in 169 games across four seasons and three organisations. The skating, the hitting and eleven goals off ten minutes are the case. The penalty rate and a chance share in the bottom third are the two things that keep the shift at ten minutes.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“11.56 hits per 60 is the 92nd percentile among forwards and 13.4 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 96th, off a 9:49 shift.”
“1.82 penalties taken per 60 is the 96th percentile among forwards against 0.74 drawn, and forty-seven penalty minutes came out of seventy-four games.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 726 minutes
- Expected goals
- 47.9%
- 38th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.2%
- 48th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 30 for, 18 against. Expected: 26.6 and 28.9.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 49 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 74 games
- Top speed
- 23.2 mph
- 92nd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 2.19 a game
- Distance
- 1.70 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 95.7 mph
- 93rd pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.1
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2021-22 with COL · 659 minutes at five-on-five
- Alex Newhook43%
- Darren Helm25%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2021-22
- The club
- COL took 51.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.9% — 4.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 726 minutes at five-on-five — 35th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook | 45.1% | 49.5% | 50.2% |
| Jack Johnson | 46.9% | 48.4% | 46.5% |
| Samuel Girard | 47.7% | 48.0% | 49.4% |
45.1% together, 49.5% for him apart and 50.2% for Newhook apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
119 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 30 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.