Armchair Scout
Nick Paul

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Nick Paul

Toronto Maple Leafs Left Wing #20

Six foot four, five hundred and thirty-seven games, and two Stanley Cup runs.

SeasonGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2025-26517815-15321016810.313:41
Career537104110214-352141831492911.215:22

Last Season

Seven goals and eight assists in 51 games — 15 points, minus-15, at 13:41 a night with 32 penalty minutes. Thirty-one games missed. His five-on-five work was done in Tampa.

His 537th career game.

The Finesse Game

A hundred and nine unblocked attempts, seven goals, median 22 feet with 46 per cent from inside twenty. Good ice, modest volume, poor conversion.

Two hundred and fourteen points in 537 career games. Eight assists in 51 games is thin and this was the least productive full season of his career.

The Physical Game

Six foot four and 234 pounds, and among the physically strongest forwards in the league — he protects pucks below the goal line, wins the wall, and forechecks with genuine weight.

Thirty-two penalty minutes is disciplined for the size.

The Intangibles

Fifty-one point four per cent of the expected goals, 66th percentile, and 51.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 75th, across 595 minutes in Tampa, with the goals 31-32.

Those are good figures and they were produced on the best possession club in the conference, which is the caveat attached to every Tampa number in this book.

He is 31, a fourth-round pick, two Stanley Cups, and thirty-one games missed. Toronto is buying playoff experience and size for a lineup that had almost none of either; the question is how many nights it gets.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 595 minutes

Expected goals
51.4%
66th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.9%
75th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 31 for, 32 against. Expected: 22.1 and 21.0.

The eye and the numbers

Report
76
Numbers
66

The eye and the numbers broadly agree on him.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 2 assists, 19 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 with TBL · 595 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

109 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.