This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →
Mitchell Chaffee
Tampa Bay Lightning Right Wing
Undrafted, 32 career games, and a 14.29 per cent career shooting rate on almost nothing.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | MIN | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 7:27 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 30 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 14.8 | 11:17 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 32 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 14.3 | 11:03 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
30 games, 4 goals and 3 assists for 7 points, 4 penalty minutes, 11:17 a night and plus-2. He took 41.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 331 minutes, the 14th percentile, and his ice went 12-10 against an expectation of 9.79-13.69.
Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and four goals of goaltending above them. Twelve goals for and ten against on a 42 per cent chance share is a fourth line getting away with it.
The Finesse Game
39 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 44 per cent of them from inside twenty and 8 per cent from beyond forty, 27 of those on goal, converted at 14.8 per cent.
Four career goals in 32 games. He takes almost everything from inside the dots and nothing from the point — 8 per cent of his attempts came from beyond forty feet — which is a fourth-line winger who knows exactly what his job is.
The Physical Game
He is 6-1 and 197 and took 4 penalty minutes.
Four career penalty minutes in 32 games. He forechecks hard and finishes checks without taking penalties for them, and at eleven minutes a night that discipline is most of why he keeps being dressed.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, two seasons, and 7 points in 32 games.
He was not drafted and reached the league at 24. Thirty games at eleven minutes a night for a club that finished sixth in the East is a foothold and nothing more.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 331 minutes
- Expected goals
- 41.7%
- 8th pct
- Shot attempts
- 47.7%
- 33rd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 10 against. Expected: 9.8 and 13.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 49 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 331 minutes at five-on-five
- Nick Paul37%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.7% — 8.8 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 331 minutes at five-on-five — 8th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Eyssimont | 46.3% | 36.9% | 50.0% |
| Nicholas Paul | 43.2% | 40.6% | 51.4% |
| Emil Lilleberg | 41.9% | 41.6% | 46.8% |
46.3% together, 36.9% for him apart and 50.0% for Eyssimont apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Eyssimont and did not follow him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
39 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.